Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for 2026, have been formally rescheduled for March 2027 following repeated postponements driven by disputes over sequencing, clan-based political associations, and National Electoral Commission preparations. These delays align with a pattern of term extensions and logistical hurdles that have pushed back votes in prior cycles, sustaining trader consensus around the high probability of no ballot before 2027. The three recognized parties—Waddani, which secured the presidency in 2024, Kulmiye, and UCID—face ongoing constraints from the constitutional three-party system and unresolved tensions between the executive, House of Elders, and opposition groups. An earlier contest would require rapid agreement on voter rolls, funding, and security amid regional instability, factors that have historically extended timelines rather than accelerate them.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari nel Somaliland
Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari nel Somaliland
Nessuna elezione prima del 2027 95%
Giustizia e Benessere (UCID) 2.8%
Waddani 2.6%
Kulmiye 1.7%
$94,636 Vol.
$94,636 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Nessuna elezione prima del 2027
95%
Giustizia e Benessere (UCID)
3%
Waddani
3%
Kulmiye
2%
Nessuna elezione prima del 2027 95%
Giustizia e Benessere (UCID) 2.8%
Waddani 2.6%
Kulmiye 1.7%
$94,636 Vol.
$94,636 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Nessuna elezione prima del 2027
$84,777 Vol.
95%
Giustizia e Benessere (UCID)
$4,279 Vol.
3%
Waddani
$2,522 Vol.
3%
Kulmiye
$3,058 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for 2026, have been formally rescheduled for March 2027 following repeated postponements driven by disputes over sequencing, clan-based political associations, and National Electoral Commission preparations. These delays align with a pattern of term extensions and logistical hurdles that have pushed back votes in prior cycles, sustaining trader consensus around the high probability of no ballot before 2027. The three recognized parties—Waddani, which secured the presidency in 2024, Kulmiye, and UCID—face ongoing constraints from the constitutional three-party system and unresolved tensions between the executive, House of Elders, and opposition groups. An earlier contest would require rapid agreement on voter rolls, funding, and security amid regional instability, factors that have historically extended timelines rather than accelerate them.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Volume
$94,636Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for 2026, have been formally rescheduled for March 2027 following repeated postponements driven by disputes over sequencing, clan-based political associations, and National Electoral Commission preparations. These delays align with a pattern of term extensions and logistical hurdles that have pushed back votes in prior cycles, sustaining trader consensus around the high probability of no ballot before 2027. The three recognized parties—Waddani, which secured the presidency in 2024, Kulmiye, and UCID—face ongoing constraints from the constitutional three-party system and unresolved tensions between the executive, House of Elders, and opposition groups. An earlier contest would require rapid agreement on voter rolls, funding, and security amid regional instability, factors that have historically extended timelines rather than accelerate them.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Volume
$94,636Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for 2026, have been formally rescheduled for March 2027 following repeated postponements driven by disputes over sequencing, clan-based political associations, and National Electoral Commission preparations. These delays align with a pattern of term extensions and logistical hurdles that have pushed back votes in prior cycles, sustaining trader consensus around the high probability of no ballot before 2027. The three recognized parties—Waddani, which secured the presidency in 2024, Kulmiye, and UCID—face ongoing constraints from the constitutional three-party system and unresolved tensions between the executive, House of Elders, and opposition groups. An earlier contest would require rapid agreement on voter rolls, funding, and security amid regional instability, factors that have historically extended timelines rather than accelerate them.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
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