**Polarization around the AfD's sustained 41% polling lead ahead of the September 6 election has created competing mobilization dynamics that leave turnout expectations nearly balanced.** Widespread dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-led coalition, economic pressures, and debates over migration and energy policy are driving higher engagement on both sides, with the AfD emphasizing street-level and social media outreach while other parties stress the consequences of potential shifts in government formation. Historical precedent from 2021 (60.3% turnout) and the state's relatively small electorate add uncertainty, as late-campaign intensity, any national spillover effects, or procedural factors like expanded mail voting could push participation either above or below that benchmark. Traders price the outcome near even odds because no single catalyst has yet tipped the balance decisively.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIn aumento
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
In aumento
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**Polarization around the AfD's sustained 41% polling lead ahead of the September 6 election has created competing mobilization dynamics that leave turnout expectations nearly balanced.** Widespread dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-led coalition, economic pressures, and debates over migration and energy policy are driving higher engagement on both sides, with the AfD emphasizing street-level and social media outreach while other parties stress the consequences of potential shifts in government formation. Historical precedent from 2021 (60.3% turnout) and the state's relatively small electorate add uncertainty, as late-campaign intensity, any national spillover effects, or procedural factors like expanded mail voting could push participation either above or below that benchmark. Traders price the outcome near even odds because no single catalyst has yet tipped the balance decisively.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 8:44 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**Polarization around the AfD's sustained 41% polling lead ahead of the September 6 election has created competing mobilization dynamics that leave turnout expectations nearly balanced.** Widespread dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-led coalition, economic pressures, and debates over migration and energy policy are driving higher engagement on both sides, with the AfD emphasizing street-level and social media outreach while other parties stress the consequences of potential shifts in government formation. Historical precedent from 2021 (60.3% turnout) and the state's relatively small electorate add uncertainty, as late-campaign intensity, any national spillover effects, or procedural factors like expanded mail voting could push participation either above or below that benchmark. Traders price the outcome near even odds because no single catalyst has yet tipped the balance decisively.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$0Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Polarization around the AfD's sustained 41% polling lead ahead of the September 6 election has created competing mobilization dynamics that leave turnout expectations nearly balanced.** Widespread dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-led coalition, economic pressures, and debates over migration and energy policy are driving higher engagement on both sides, with the AfD emphasizing street-level and social media outreach while other parties stress the consequences of potential shifts in government formation. Historical precedent from 2021 (60.3% turnout) and the state's relatively small electorate add uncertainty, as late-campaign intensity, any national spillover effects, or procedural factors like expanded mail voting could push participation either above or below that benchmark. Traders price the outcome near even odds because no single catalyst has yet tipped the balance decisively.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
L'AfD vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni parlamentari della Sassonia-Anhalt del 2026?
98%
Sì
La CDU otterrà il secondo maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari della Sassonia-Anhalt del 2026?
98%
Sì
Elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore: affluenza in aumento o in calo?
51%
In aumento
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti