Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market at 78.5% following his 33.2% finish in the September 13 first round, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.5% and the remaining candidates well behind. No contender reached the absolute majority required for outright victory, triggering the September 27 second round between the SPD nominee and the cross-party backed independent. Traders assign Rohr only 15% odds despite endorsements from both the Greens and CDU, reflecting Prange’s first-place result, higher personal vote total, and established SPD base in the city council race. Minor candidates including Heike Boldt, Ralf Butzin, and others trade near zero, consistent with their single-digit shares and limited path to consolidation in the runoff.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoUlf Prange 82%
Jascha Rohr 15%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$21,666 Vol.
$21,666 Vol.

Ulf Prange
78%

Jascha Rohr
15%

Sebastian Fröhlich
<1%

Heike Boldt
<1%

Holger Martin Wilkens
<1%

Yakup Castur
<1%

Byanca Küßner
<1%

Michael Stille
<1%

Ralf Butzin
<1%
Ulf Prange 82%
Jascha Rohr 15%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$21,666 Vol.
$21,666 Vol.

Ulf Prange
78%

Jascha Rohr
15%

Sebastian Fröhlich
<1%

Heike Boldt
<1%

Holger Martin Wilkens
<1%

Yakup Castur
<1%

Byanca Küßner
<1%

Michael Stille
<1%

Ralf Butzin
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market at 78.5% following his 33.2% finish in the September 13 first round, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.5% and the remaining candidates well behind. No contender reached the absolute majority required for outright victory, triggering the September 27 second round between the SPD nominee and the cross-party backed independent. Traders assign Rohr only 15% odds despite endorsements from both the Greens and CDU, reflecting Prange’s first-place result, higher personal vote total, and established SPD base in the city council race. Minor candidates including Heike Boldt, Ralf Butzin, and others trade near zero, consistent with their single-digit shares and limited path to consolidation in the runoff.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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