Skip to main content
icon for Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Politica·Elezioni Principali

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

icon for Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Politica·Elezioni Principali

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp 46%

Stefan Evers 39%

Werner Graf 19%

Steffen Krach 4.0%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Elif Eralp 46%

Stefan Evers 39%

Werner Graf 19%

Steffen Krach 4.0%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Elif Eralp

Elif Eralp

$1,672 Vol.

46%

icon for Stefan Evers

Stefan Evers

$1,154 Vol.

39%

icon for Werner Graf

Werner Graf

$906 Vol.

19%

icon for Steffen Krach

Steffen Krach

$76 Vol.

4%

icon for Kristin Brinker

Kristin Brinker

$84 Vol.

3%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The September 20, 2026 Berlin state election remains closely contested following Kai Wegner's July withdrawal as CDU lead candidate amid criticism over a prolonged power outage, with Finance Senator Stefan Evers now heading the ticket. This late switch has kept CDU support competitive but introduced uncertainty around continuity, while Elif Eralp for the Left Party and Werner Graf for the Greens draw notable backing in a fragmented field that requires post-election coalition negotiations to determine the Governing Mayor. Polling averages show the CDU-SPD governing parties trailing overall, with AfD's Kristin Brinker and SPD's Steffen Krach holding marginal implied probabilities. Upcoming debates, further polling shifts, and any coalition signals ahead of the vote could widen gaps among frontrunners in this multi-party contest.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,892
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The September 20, 2026 Berlin state election remains closely contested following Kai Wegner's July withdrawal as CDU lead candidate amid criticism over a prolonged power outage, with Finance Senator Stefan Evers now heading the ticket. This late switch has kept CDU support competitive but introduced uncertainty around continuity, while Elif Eralp for the Left Party and Werner Graf for the Greens draw notable backing in a fragmented field that requires post-election coalition negotiations to determine the Governing Mayor. Polling averages show the CDU-SPD governing parties trailing overall, with AfD's Kristin Brinker and SPD's Steffen Krach holding marginal implied probabilities. Upcoming debates, further polling shifts, and any coalition signals ahead of the vote could widen gaps among frontrunners in this multi-party contest.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,892
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Correlati

icon for Linke vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni statali di Berlino del 2026?

Linke vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni statali di Berlino del 2026?

44%
Sì
icon for Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

33%
icon for Will CDU win fewer than 25 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Will CDU win fewer than 25 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

39%

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Elif Eralp" a 46%, seguito da "Stefan Evers" a 39%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 46¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 46% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 11, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" è "Elif Eralp" a 46%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 46% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Stefan Evers" a 39%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.