AfD maintains a clear lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polls at approximately 36 percent, ahead of the incumbent SPD at 28-29 percent, with other parties trailing further behind. The September 20, 2026 election date is now roughly one month away, compressing the window for any late swing in voter preferences or turnout. AfD strength in eastern states, combined with consistent survey results from multiple institutes over the summer, underpins trader consensus that the party will secure the plurality of votes. The SPD retains some structural advantages through its governing record and the personal popularity of Minister-President Manuela Schwesig, yet the gap has proven durable. Markets price remaining uncertainty around final-week developments or differential mobilization among core voter blocs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore
Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore
AfD 85%
SPD 16%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$455,862 Vol.
$455,862 Vol.
20 set 2026
AfD
85%
SPD
16%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 85%
SPD 16%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$455,862 Vol.
$455,862 Vol.
20 set 2026
AfD
$79,746 Vol.
85%
SPD
$96,435 Vol.
16%
Linke
$27,668 Vol.
<1%
FW
$36,709 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$44,445 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$71,444 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$77,089 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$22,326 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a clear lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polls at approximately 36 percent, ahead of the incumbent SPD at 28-29 percent, with other parties trailing further behind. The September 20, 2026 election date is now roughly one month away, compressing the window for any late swing in voter preferences or turnout. AfD strength in eastern states, combined with consistent survey results from multiple institutes over the summer, underpins trader consensus that the party will secure the plurality of votes. The SPD retains some structural advantages through its governing record and the personal popularity of Minister-President Manuela Schwesig, yet the gap has proven durable. Markets price remaining uncertainty around final-week developments or differential mobilization among core voter blocs.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Mercato aperto: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$455,862Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a clear lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polls at approximately 36 percent, ahead of the incumbent SPD at 28-29 percent, with other parties trailing further behind. The September 20, 2026 election date is now roughly one month away, compressing the window for any late swing in voter preferences or turnout. AfD strength in eastern states, combined with consistent survey results from multiple institutes over the summer, underpins trader consensus that the party will secure the plurality of votes. The SPD retains some structural advantages through its governing record and the personal popularity of Minister-President Manuela Schwesig, yet the gap has proven durable. Markets price remaining uncertainty around final-week developments or differential mobilization among core voter blocs.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$455,862Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD maintains a clear lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polls at approximately 36 percent, ahead of the incumbent SPD at 28-29 percent, with other parties trailing further behind. The September 20, 2026 election date is now roughly one month away, compressing the window for any late swing in voter preferences or turnout. AfD strength in eastern states, combined with consistent survey results from multiple institutes over the summer, underpins trader consensus that the party will secure the plurality of votes. The SPD retains some structural advantages through its governing record and the personal popularity of Minister-President Manuela Schwesig, yet the gap has proven durable. Markets price remaining uncertainty around final-week developments or differential mobilization among core voter blocs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
La Linke otterrà il terzo maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore del 2026?
75%
Sì
L'SPD vincerà il secondo maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore del 2026?
86%
Sì
Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
55%
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