AfD maintains a commanding lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election polling ahead of the September 20 vote, with recent surveys from Forsa, Infratest dimap, and INSA placing the party between 34 and 37 percent. This positions it well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 23–26 percent and the CDU at 12–13 percent, reflecting sustained eastern German voter preferences on immigration and economic issues that have held steady since late 2025. The fractured opposition field, including the Left Party and BSW below 12 percent, further limits any single challenger’s path to first place. Traders have priced AfD as the frontrunner at 84 percent implied probability, consistent with the party’s structural advantage in the Landtag contest and the absence of major polling shifts in recent months.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore
Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore
AfD 84%
SPD 16%
FDP <1%
CDU <1%
$220,303 Vol.
$220,303 Vol.
20 set 2026
AfD
84%
SPD
16%
FDP
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
BSW
<1%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 84%
SPD 16%
FDP <1%
CDU <1%
$220,303 Vol.
$220,303 Vol.
20 set 2026
AfD
$8,307 Vol.
84%
SPD
$37,071 Vol.
16%
FDP
$50,818 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$28,594 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$53,394 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$12,545 Vol.
<1%
Linke
$9,060 Vol.
<1%
FW
$20,514 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election polling ahead of the September 20 vote, with recent surveys from Forsa, Infratest dimap, and INSA placing the party between 34 and 37 percent. This positions it well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 23–26 percent and the CDU at 12–13 percent, reflecting sustained eastern German voter preferences on immigration and economic issues that have held steady since late 2025. The fractured opposition field, including the Left Party and BSW below 12 percent, further limits any single challenger’s path to first place. Traders have priced AfD as the frontrunner at 84 percent implied probability, consistent with the party’s structural advantage in the Landtag contest and the absence of major polling shifts in recent months.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Mercato aperto: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$220,303Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election polling ahead of the September 20 vote, with recent surveys from Forsa, Infratest dimap, and INSA placing the party between 34 and 37 percent. This positions it well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 23–26 percent and the CDU at 12–13 percent, reflecting sustained eastern German voter preferences on immigration and economic issues that have held steady since late 2025. The fractured opposition field, including the Left Party and BSW below 12 percent, further limits any single challenger’s path to first place. Traders have priced AfD as the frontrunner at 84 percent implied probability, consistent with the party’s structural advantage in the Landtag contest and the absence of major polling shifts in recent months.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$220,303Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD maintains a commanding lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election polling ahead of the September 20 vote, with recent surveys from Forsa, Infratest dimap, and INSA placing the party between 34 and 37 percent. This positions it well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 23–26 percent and the CDU at 12–13 percent, reflecting sustained eastern German voter preferences on immigration and economic issues that have held steady since late 2025. The fractured opposition field, including the Left Party and BSW below 12 percent, further limits any single challenger’s path to first place. Traders have priced AfD as the frontrunner at 84 percent implied probability, consistent with the party’s structural advantage in the Landtag contest and the absence of major polling shifts in recent months.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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