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icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Paraíba
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Paraíba

icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Paraíba
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Paraíba

Lula 97.8%

Ronaldo Caiado <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Flavio Bolsonaro <1%

Polymarket

$40,173 Vol.

Lula 97.8%

Ronaldo Caiado <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Flavio Bolsonaro <1%

Polymarket

$40,173 Vol.

icon for Lula

Lula

$32,063 Vol.

98%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$633 Vol.

1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$642 Vol.

1%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$663 Vol.

1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$642 Vol.

1%

icon for Veterinario Wilson Grassi

Veterinario Wilson Grassi

$642 Vol.

1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$638 Vol.

1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$633 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$633 Vol.

<1%

icon for Scrittore Augusto Cury

Scrittore Augusto Cury

$888 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$763 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$639 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$693 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Paraíba for first place in the October 4, 2026 first round, with recent AtlasIntel, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data surveys showing him at 50-55% support against single-digit or low-20s figures for rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. Northeast regional voting patterns, combined with Lula's approval rating and comparatively lower rejection levels in the state, underpin trader consensus on his frontrunner status. Polling consistency through early September reinforces this positioning ahead of the vote. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the outcome include major late-breaking developments, such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, significant scandals affecting Lula's coalition, or sharp turnout shifts among key demographics that alter the current margin.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$40,173
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Paraíba for first place in the October 4, 2026 first round, with recent AtlasIntel, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data surveys showing him at 50-55% support against single-digit or low-20s figures for rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. Northeast regional voting patterns, combined with Lula's approval rating and comparatively lower rejection levels in the state, underpin trader consensus on his frontrunner status. Polling consistency through early September reinforces this positioning ahead of the vote. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the outcome include major late-breaking developments, such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, significant scandals affecting Lula's coalition, or sharp turnout shifts among key demographics that alter the current margin.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$40,173
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Pará?

Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Pará?

93%
Sì
icon for Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

69%
Sì
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane a San Paolo?

Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane a San Paolo?

95%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Paraíba" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Lula" a 98%, seguito da "Ronaldo Caiado" a 1%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 98¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Paraíba" ha generato $40.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Paraíba", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Paraíba" è "Lula" a 98%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Ronaldo Caiado" a 1%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Paraíba" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.