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Mondo·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto

icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto
Mondo·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto

Renan Santos 58%

Ronaldo Caiado 34%

Romeu Zema 5.3%

Flávio Bolsonaro 2.9%

Polymarket

$537,085 Vol.

Renan Santos 58%

Ronaldo Caiado 34%

Romeu Zema 5.3%

Flávio Bolsonaro 2.9%

Polymarket

$537,085 Vol.

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$179,413 Vol.

58%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$50,679 Vol.

34%

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$22,215 Vol.

5%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$24,637 Vol.

3%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$11,263 Vol.

1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$8,737 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$45,438 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$12,808 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$103,512 Vol.

<1%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$13,072 Vol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$10,096 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$20,656 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$7,754 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$9,865 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$4,083 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$9,374 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$3,481 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos holds the strongest trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 2026 first round because his Mission Party candidacy has gained traction among younger voters through social media and anti-establishment messaging, positioning him ahead of other right-of-center alternatives in recent polling. Former Goiás governor Ronaldo Caiado, the PSD nominee with extensive executive experience and conservative security policies, trails Santos but remains competitive due to party organization and name recognition. Romeu Zema and other listed contenders register lower support as the race consolidates around incumbent President Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent party conventions have finalized major tickets without major shifts, leaving the third-place outcome sensitive to turnout patterns and any late consolidation on the right before the vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$537,085
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos holds the strongest trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 2026 first round because his Mission Party candidacy has gained traction among younger voters through social media and anti-establishment messaging, positioning him ahead of other right-of-center alternatives in recent polling. Former Goiás governor Ronaldo Caiado, the PSD nominee with extensive executive experience and conservative security policies, trails Santos but remains competitive due to party organization and name recognition. Romeu Zema and other listed contenders register lower support as the race consolidates around incumbent President Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent party conventions have finalized major tickets without major shifts, leaving the third-place outcome sensitive to turnout patterns and any late consolidation on the right before the vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$537,085
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Correlati

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva vincerà le elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva vincerà le elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

64%
Sì
icon for Qualcuno dei candidati presidenziali vincerà direttamente al primo turno delle elezioni in Brasile?

Qualcuno dei candidati presidenziali vincerà direttamente al primo turno delle elezioni in Brasile?

13%
Sì
icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva si qualificherà per il ballottaggio presidenziale in Brasile?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva si qualificherà per il ballottaggio presidenziale in Brasile?

95%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 17 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Renan Santos" a 58%, seguito da "Ronaldo Caiado" a 34%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 58¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 58% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto" ha generato $537.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 11, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto", esplora i 17 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto" è "Renan Santos" a 58%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 58% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Ronaldo Caiado" a 34%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.