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icon for Santa Catarina Governatore Vincitore delle elezioni
Politica·Brasile

Santa Catarina Governatore Vincitore delle elezioni

icon for Santa Catarina Governatore Vincitore delle elezioni
Politica·Brasile

Santa Catarina Governatore Vincitore delle elezioni

Jorginho Mello 97.0%

João Rodrigues 1.6%

Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.4%

Décio Lima <1%

Polymarket

$121,889 Vol.

Jorginho Mello 97.0%

João Rodrigues 1.6%

Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.4%

Décio Lima <1%

Polymarket

$121,889 Vol.

icon for Jorginho Mello

Jorginho Mello

$30,674 Vol.

97%

icon for João Rodrigues

João Rodrigues

$2,930 Vol.

2%

icon for Marcelo Brigadeiro

Marcelo Brigadeiro

$15,904 Vol.

1%

icon for Décio Lima

Décio Lima

$64,075 Vol.

<1%

icon for Afrânio Boppré

Afrânio Boppré

$2,315 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gelson Merisio

Gelson Merisio

$2,155 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcos Vieira

Marcos Vieira

$2,028 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adriano Silva

Adriano Silva

$1,808 Vol.

<1%

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina seeking reelection, maintains a dominant position in the 2026 gubernatorial race with trader consensus reflecting his strong polling lead. Recent surveys from institutes including Neokemp and AtlasIntel show him at 51-58% in the first round, well ahead of challengers such as João Rodrigues (PSD) at 17-24% and Gelson Merísio (PSB) at lower single digits, with others trailing further. His confirmed candidacy in August alongside vice candidate Adriano Silva (Novo), backed by a broad coalition and ties to national figures including Flávio Bolsonaro, builds on his 2022 victory margin exceeding 70%. Active campaigning on infrastructure and state priorities has sustained momentum ahead of the October 4 first round. While a first-round win appears probable based on current data, late developments such as shifts in undecided voters or unforeseen events could still influence the outcome before the potential October 25 runoff.

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$121,889
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina seeking reelection, maintains a dominant position in the 2026 gubernatorial race with trader consensus reflecting his strong polling lead. Recent surveys from institutes including Neokemp and AtlasIntel show him at 51-58% in the first round, well ahead of challengers such as João Rodrigues (PSD) at 17-24% and Gelson Merísio (PSB) at lower single digits, with others trailing further. His confirmed candidacy in August alongside vice candidate Adriano Silva (Novo), backed by a broad coalition and ties to national figures including Flávio Bolsonaro, builds on his 2022 victory margin exceeding 70%. Active campaigning on infrastructure and state priorities has sustained momentum ahead of the October 4 first round. While a first-round win appears probable based on current data, late developments such as shifts in undecided voters or unforeseen events could still influence the outcome before the potential October 25 runoff.

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$121,889
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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"Santa Catarina Governatore Vincitore delle elezioni" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jorginho Mello" a 97%, seguito da "João Rodrigues" a 2%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 97¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Santa Catarina Governatore Vincitore delle elezioni" ha generato $121.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 9, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Santa Catarina Governatore Vincitore delle elezioni", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Santa Catarina Governatore Vincitore delle elezioni" è "Jorginho Mello" a 97%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "João Rodrigues" a 2%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Santa Catarina Governatore Vincitore delle elezioni" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.