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icon for Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 2° posto

icon for Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 2° posto

Marcelo Aro 44%

Domingos Sávio 44%

Marília Campos 44%

Manoel Carvalho 44%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Marcelo Aro 44%

Domingos Sávio 44%

Marília Campos 44%

Manoel Carvalho 44%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$20 Vol.

10%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$20 Vol.

8%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Traders view the Minas Gerais Senate race for second place as highly uncertain due to a fragmented field of roughly 13 candidates competing for two seats on October 4, 2026. Recent polls from Quaest, Ipan/Panorama, and others show Marília Campos (PT), Carlos Viana (PSD), and Domingos Sávio (PL) locked in tight technical ties, with support fluctuating between 9% and 24% depending on the scenario and alliance structures. Aécio Neves’s withdrawal in August has further redistributed voter intentions without creating a clear hierarchy. Smaller-party contenders such as Ana Luiza do MLB and Áurea Carolina trail but retain niche bases, while low-polling names like Marcelo Heringer and Fidélis Alcântara face steep structural barriers. This broad distribution of viable paths to second place sustains clustered market probabilities around 44–50% for the top tier, with any late consolidation of center-right or left-leaning coalitions the most likely catalyst for separation.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$40
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Traders view the Minas Gerais Senate race for second place as highly uncertain due to a fragmented field of roughly 13 candidates competing for two seats on October 4, 2026. Recent polls from Quaest, Ipan/Panorama, and others show Marília Campos (PT), Carlos Viana (PSD), and Domingos Sávio (PL) locked in tight technical ties, with support fluctuating between 9% and 24% depending on the scenario and alliance structures. Aécio Neves’s withdrawal in August has further redistributed voter intentions without creating a clear hierarchy. Smaller-party contenders such as Ana Luiza do MLB and Áurea Carolina trail but retain niche bases, while low-polling names like Marcelo Heringer and Fidélis Alcântara face steep structural barriers. This broad distribution of viable paths to second place sustains clustered market probabilities around 44–50% for the top tier, with any late consolidation of center-right or left-leaning coalitions the most likely catalyst for separation.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$40
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Correlati

icon for Will Carlin Moura win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

Will Carlin Moura win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

44%
icon for Coronel Darwin otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato di Mato Grosso del 2026?

Coronel Darwin otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato di Mato Grosso del 2026?

43%
Sì
icon for Capitão Alberto Neto otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato dell'Amazonas del 2026?

Capitão Alberto Neto otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato dell'Amazonas del 2026?

43%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 2° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 17 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Marcelo Aro" a 44%, seguito da "Domingos Sávio" a 44%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 44¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 2° posto" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 2° posto", esplora i 17 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 2° posto" è "Marcelo Aro" a 44%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Domingos Sávio" a 44%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 2° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.