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icon for Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 1° posto
Politica·Elezioni Globali

Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 1° posto

icon for Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 1° posto
Politica·Elezioni Globali

Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 1° posto

Manoel Carvalho 34%

Victória Mello Vic 21%

Jordano Metalúrgico 21%

Juiz Ramon Moreira 20%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Manoel Carvalho 34%

Victória Mello Vic 21%

Jordano Metalúrgico 21%

Juiz Ramon Moreira 20%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$119 Vol.

34%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$46 Vol.

21%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$46 Vol.

21%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$46 Vol.

20%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$46 Vol.

20%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$46 Vol.

19%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$46 Vol.

19%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$46 Vol.

19%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$46 Vol.

19%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$46 Vol.

19%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$66 Vol.

20%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$86 Vol.

17%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$46 Vol.

22%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$46 Vol.

19%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$46 Vol.

19%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$75 Vol.

29%

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$66 Vol.

36%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Quaest and other firms show Marília Campos (PT) leading Senate first-place preferences in Minas Gerais at 18-20%, ahead of names like Carlos Viana (PSD), Marcelo Aro (PP), and Domingos Sávio (PL), though the field remains fragmented with 17 registered candidates after the August registration deadline. Aécio Neves (PSDB) withdrawal has redistributed support without producing a dominant alternative, while low name recognition and high undecided shares keep most contenders clustered below 20%. Trader pricing reflects this polling consensus alongside the structural reality of two seats and proportional representation rules that reward broad but shallow coalitions. Late campaign events, regional turnout shifts in key municipalities, or additional high-profile withdrawals could widen gaps before October voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$960
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Quaest and other firms show Marília Campos (PT) leading Senate first-place preferences in Minas Gerais at 18-20%, ahead of names like Carlos Viana (PSD), Marcelo Aro (PP), and Domingos Sávio (PL), though the field remains fragmented with 17 registered candidates after the August registration deadline. Aécio Neves (PSDB) withdrawal has redistributed support without producing a dominant alternative, while low name recognition and high undecided shares keep most contenders clustered below 20%. Trader pricing reflects this polling consensus alongside the structural reality of two seats and proportional representation rules that reward broad but shallow coalitions. Late campaign events, regional turnout shifts in key municipalities, or additional high-profile withdrawals could widen gaps before October voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$960
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Correlati

icon for Will Manoel Carvalho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

Will Manoel Carvalho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

48%
icon for Beny Godoy otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Mato Grosso del 2026?

Beny Godoy otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Mato Grosso del 2026?

28%
Sì
icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?

71%

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 1° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 17 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Marília Campos" a 36%, seguito da "Manoel Carvalho" a 34%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 36¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 36% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 1° posto" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 1° posto", esplora i 17 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 1° posto" è "Marília Campos" a 36%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 36% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Manoel Carvalho" a 34%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 1° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.