Lula's commanding position in Sergipe for first place in the October 4 first round reflects his established strength across the Northeast, where recent Quaest polling from late August shows him at 53% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19% and all other registered candidates at 3% or below. Positive government approval ratings near 60% and favorable evaluations of his administration reinforce this edge among state voters. Trader consensus at 96% aligns with these patterns and the limited traction shown by alternatives like Ronaldo Caiado or Pablo Marçal in the same surveys. Shifts could occur if undecided voters (around 11-12%) consolidate behind challengers or if late-campaign developments alter preferences before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLula 95.5%
Clariana Barao 2.1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.6%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$13,719 Vol.
$13,719 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Lula
96%
Clariana Barao
2%
Flavio Bolsonaro
2%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Veterinario Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Samara
<1%
Lula 95.5%
Clariana Barao 2.1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.6%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$13,719 Vol.
$13,719 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Lula
$7,347 Vol.
96%
Clariana Barao
$1,079 Vol.
2%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$541 Vol.
2%
Edmilson Costa
$486 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$470 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$492 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$486 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$470 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$492 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$498 Vol.
<1%
Veterinario Wilson Grassi
$478 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$411 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$469 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding position in Sergipe for first place in the October 4 first round reflects his established strength across the Northeast, where recent Quaest polling from late August shows him at 53% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19% and all other registered candidates at 3% or below. Positive government approval ratings near 60% and favorable evaluations of his administration reinforce this edge among state voters. Trader consensus at 96% aligns with these patterns and the limited traction shown by alternatives like Ronaldo Caiado or Pablo Marçal in the same surveys. Shifts could occur if undecided voters (around 11-12%) consolidate behind challengers or if late-campaign developments alter preferences before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
Volume
$13,719Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding position in Sergipe for first place in the October 4 first round reflects his established strength across the Northeast, where recent Quaest polling from late August shows him at 53% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19% and all other registered candidates at 3% or below. Positive government approval ratings near 60% and favorable evaluations of his administration reinforce this edge among state voters. Trader consensus at 96% aligns with these patterns and the limited traction shown by alternatives like Ronaldo Caiado or Pablo Marçal in the same surveys. Shifts could occur if undecided voters (around 11-12%) consolidate behind challengers or if late-campaign developments alter preferences before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$13,719Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Lula's commanding position in Sergipe for first place in the October 4 first round reflects his established strength across the Northeast, where recent Quaest polling from late August shows him at 53% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19% and all other registered candidates at 3% or below. Positive government approval ratings near 60% and favorable evaluations of his administration reinforce this edge among state voters. Trader consensus at 96% aligns with these patterns and the limited traction shown by alternatives like Ronaldo Caiado or Pablo Marçal in the same surveys. Shifts could occur if undecided voters (around 11-12%) consolidate behind challengers or if late-campaign developments alter preferences before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane a San Paolo?
93%
Sì
Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Paraíba?
96%
Sì
Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane nel Distretto Federale?
77%
Sì
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