The tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) reflects closely matched polling averages near 38-41% in recent surveys, with the race shaped by Rodrigues's recovered approval ratings on infrastructure and education alongside Neto's consolidation of opposition support after his 2025 realignment with right-wing blocs. A recent August debate highlighted shared priorities on security, health, and economic issues without decisive shifts, while municipal-level endorsements and judicial rulings on campaign conduct have maintained momentum balance. Separation could emerge from late-cycle polling swings in key regions, turnout patterns among swing voters, or national political developments influencing Bahia's electorate before the October first round.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJerônimo Rodrigues 50%
ACM Neto 48%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$107,708 Vol.
$107,708 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
50%
ACM Neto
48%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 50%
ACM Neto 48%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$107,708 Vol.
$107,708 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$34,629 Vol.
50%
ACM Neto
$35,900 Vol.
48%
Kleber Rosa
$11,407 Vol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$9,514 Vol.
<1%
João Roma
$5,186 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) reflects closely matched polling averages near 38-41% in recent surveys, with the race shaped by Rodrigues's recovered approval ratings on infrastructure and education alongside Neto's consolidation of opposition support after his 2025 realignment with right-wing blocs. A recent August debate highlighted shared priorities on security, health, and economic issues without decisive shifts, while municipal-level endorsements and judicial rulings on campaign conduct have maintained momentum balance. Separation could emerge from late-cycle polling swings in key regions, turnout patterns among swing voters, or national political developments influencing Bahia's electorate before the October first round.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$107,708Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) reflects closely matched polling averages near 38-41% in recent surveys, with the race shaped by Rodrigues's recovered approval ratings on infrastructure and education alongside Neto's consolidation of opposition support after his 2025 realignment with right-wing blocs. A recent August debate highlighted shared priorities on security, health, and economic issues without decisive shifts, while municipal-level endorsements and judicial rulings on campaign conduct have maintained momentum balance. Separation could emerge from late-cycle polling swings in key regions, turnout patterns among swing voters, or national political developments influencing Bahia's electorate before the October first round.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$107,708Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) reflects closely matched polling averages near 38-41% in recent surveys, with the race shaped by Rodrigues's recovered approval ratings on infrastructure and education alongside Neto's consolidation of opposition support after his 2025 realignment with right-wing blocs. A recent August debate highlighted shared priorities on security, health, and economic issues without decisive shifts, while municipal-level endorsements and judicial rulings on campaign conduct have maintained momentum balance. Separation could emerge from late-cycle polling swings in key regions, turnout patterns among swing voters, or national political developments influencing Bahia's electorate before the October first round.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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