Recent polls from late August show incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leading João Campos (PSB) by eight points in the first-round scenario and widening her edge to ten points in a potential runoff, supported by 68% approval for her administration. Earlier surveys from July placed the pair closer or within the margin of error, reflecting Lyra’s gains since the campaign began and stable voter preference for her reelection bid. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register at 1% or below, leaving the contest effectively between the two frontrunners ahead of the October vote. Trader consensus aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages of incumbency in Pernambuco’s gubernatorial race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRaquel Lyra 67%
João Campos 34%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$32,647 Vol.
$32,647 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Raquel Lyra
67%
João Campos
34%
Ivan Moraes
<1%
Raquel Lyra 67%
João Campos 34%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$32,647 Vol.
$32,647 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Raquel Lyra
$15,033 Vol.
67%
João Campos
$14,539 Vol.
34%
Ivan Moraes
$3,075 Vol.
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late August show incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leading João Campos (PSB) by eight points in the first-round scenario and widening her edge to ten points in a potential runoff, supported by 68% approval for her administration. Earlier surveys from July placed the pair closer or within the margin of error, reflecting Lyra’s gains since the campaign began and stable voter preference for her reelection bid. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register at 1% or below, leaving the contest effectively between the two frontrunners ahead of the October vote. Trader consensus aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages of incumbency in Pernambuco’s gubernatorial race.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$32,647Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late August show incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leading João Campos (PSB) by eight points in the first-round scenario and widening her edge to ten points in a potential runoff, supported by 68% approval for her administration. Earlier surveys from July placed the pair closer or within the margin of error, reflecting Lyra’s gains since the campaign began and stable voter preference for her reelection bid. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register at 1% or below, leaving the contest effectively between the two frontrunners ahead of the October vote. Trader consensus aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages of incumbency in Pernambuco’s gubernatorial race.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$32,647Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from late August show incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leading João Campos (PSB) by eight points in the first-round scenario and widening her edge to ten points in a potential runoff, supported by 68% approval for her administration. Earlier surveys from July placed the pair closer or within the margin of error, reflecting Lyra’s gains since the campaign began and stable voter preference for her reelection bid. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register at 1% or below, leaving the contest effectively between the two frontrunners ahead of the October vote. Trader consensus aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages of incumbency in Pernambuco’s gubernatorial race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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