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icon for Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto

icon for Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto

Pedro Paulo 45%

Luciano Mattos 44%

Marcelo Crivella 44%

Marcos Dias 44%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Pedro Paulo 45%

Luciano Mattos 44%

Marcelo Crivella 44%

Marcos Dias 44%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Pedro Paulo

Pedro Paulo

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Luciano Mattos

Luciano Mattos

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marcelo Crivella

Marcelo Crivella

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marcos Dias

Marcos Dias

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Ó Clemente

Ó Clemente

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Vinicius Benevides

Vinicius Benevides

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Waguinho

Waguinho

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Helio Secco

Helio Secco

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Paula Falcão

Paula Falcão

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Luiz Eugenio

Luiz Eugenio

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for André Monteiro

André Monteiro

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Carlos Jordy

Carlos Jordy

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Carlos Portinho

Carlos Portinho

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Benedita da Silva

Benedita da Silva

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Monica Benicio

Monica Benicio

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Michelly Xavier

Michelly Xavier

$0 Vol.

40%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Multiple candidates remain closely matched in polls for the second Rio de Janeiro Senate seat, with Benedita da Silva holding a clearer edge for first place. Recent surveys from July 2026 show Marcelo Crivella ahead of a pack that includes Carlos Portinho, Carlos Jordy, Pedro Paulo, and Mônica Benício, while earlier withdrawals by Flávio Bolsonaro and Cláudio Castro have left the contest fragmented across parties. This open field, combined with high undecided shares and similar support levels among right-leaning and center options, sustains balanced trader pricing. Upcoming campaign events, additional polling releases, or shifts in party alliances before the October vote could consolidate support and widen gaps among the contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Multiple candidates remain closely matched in polls for the second Rio de Janeiro Senate seat, with Benedita da Silva holding a clearer edge for first place. Recent surveys from July 2026 show Marcelo Crivella ahead of a pack that includes Carlos Portinho, Carlos Jordy, Pedro Paulo, and Mônica Benício, while earlier withdrawals by Flávio Bolsonaro and Cláudio Castro have left the contest fragmented across parties. This open field, combined with high undecided shares and similar support levels among right-leaning and center options, sustains balanced trader pricing. Upcoming campaign events, additional polling releases, or shifts in party alliances before the October vote could consolidate support and widen gaps among the contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Correlati

icon for Carlos Portinho otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato di Rio de Janeiro del 2026?

Carlos Portinho otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato di Rio de Janeiro del 2026?

45%
Sì
icon for Frederico Antunes otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Rio Grande do Sul del 2026?

Frederico Antunes otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Rio Grande do Sul del 2026?

45%
Sì
icon for Linhares Jiboia otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Rio Grande do Norte del 2026?

Linhares Jiboia otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Rio Grande do Norte del 2026?

46%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 16 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Pedro Paulo" a 46%, seguito da "Luciano Mattos" a 44%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 46¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 46% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto", esplora i 16 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto" è "Pedro Paulo" a 46%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 46% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Luciano Mattos" a 44%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.