The Rio Grande do Norte Senate race for the two seats up in October 2026 features a tight contest for second place, driven by recent AtlasIntel polling showing Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) leading but a cluster of candidates—Samanda Alves (PT), Coronel Hélio (PL), and Rafael Motta (PDT)—within the margin of error behind him. Zenaide Maia (PSD) trails further, while lower-polling names like Linhares Jiboia and Tércio Tinôco register in market pricing amid a field of 13–14 officially registered candidates following party conventions. The official campaign period opened just days ago, with limited new voter data or major endorsements to separate contenders. Trader consensus around 40–50% for multiple options reflects this uncertainty, as small shifts in turnout, alliances, or late polling could reorder the second spot without altering the overall multi-candidate dynamic.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLinhares Jiboia 44%
Zenaide Maia 42%
Rosália Fernandes 42%
Tércio Tinôco 42%

Linhares Jiboia
44%

Zenaide Maia
42%

Rosália Fernandes
42%

Tércio Tinôco
42%

Styvenson Valentim
41%

Professor Guilherme
40%

Rafael Motta
39%

Samanda de Lula
39%

Sonia Godeiro
38%

Colonnello Hélio
38%

Luciana Mandu
37%

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
37%

Sandro Pimentel
37%

Gari Wendell Batista
36%
Linhares Jiboia 44%
Zenaide Maia 42%
Rosália Fernandes 42%
Tércio Tinôco 42%

Linhares Jiboia
44%

Zenaide Maia
42%

Rosália Fernandes
42%

Tércio Tinôco
42%

Styvenson Valentim
41%

Professor Guilherme
40%

Rafael Motta
39%

Samanda de Lula
39%

Sonia Godeiro
38%

Colonnello Hélio
38%

Luciana Mandu
37%

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
37%

Sandro Pimentel
37%

Gari Wendell Batista
36%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Norte Senate race for the two seats up in October 2026 features a tight contest for second place, driven by recent AtlasIntel polling showing Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) leading but a cluster of candidates—Samanda Alves (PT), Coronel Hélio (PL), and Rafael Motta (PDT)—within the margin of error behind him. Zenaide Maia (PSD) trails further, while lower-polling names like Linhares Jiboia and Tércio Tinôco register in market pricing amid a field of 13–14 officially registered candidates following party conventions. The official campaign period opened just days ago, with limited new voter data or major endorsements to separate contenders. Trader consensus around 40–50% for multiple options reflects this uncertainty, as small shifts in turnout, alliances, or late polling could reorder the second spot without altering the overall multi-candidate dynamic.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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