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icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso do Sul
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso do Sul

icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso do Sul
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso do Sul

Flavio Bolsonaro 97.0%

Samara 1.1%

Clariana Barao 1.0%

Lula <1%

Polymarket

$10,672 Vol.

Flavio Bolsonaro 97.0%

Samara 1.1%

Clariana Barao 1.0%

Lula <1%

Polymarket

$10,672 Vol.

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$6,113 Vol.

97%

icon for Samara

Samara

$343 Vol.

1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$348 Vol.

1%

icon for Lula

Lula

$518 Vol.

1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$403 Vol.

1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$400 Vol.

1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$354 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$313 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$278 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$407 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$441 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$363 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$390 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Mato Grosso do Sul first-round polling for the October 2026 Brazilian presidential election, driven by consistent double-digit advantages over incumbent Lula in recent surveys from institutes such as Real Time and AtlasIntel. The state’s agribusiness economy, conservative electorate, and strong prior support for Jair Bolsonaro have transferred to his son and Liberal Party candidate, reinforced by endorsements including from Governor Eduardo Riedel. Low single-digit showings for alternatives such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury have limited vote fragmentation. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors while acknowledging that shifts among undecided voters or late campaign developments within the narrow resolution window could still alter the outcome.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$10,672
Data di fine
1 lug 2027
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Mato Grosso do Sul first-round polling for the October 2026 Brazilian presidential election, driven by consistent double-digit advantages over incumbent Lula in recent surveys from institutes such as Real Time and AtlasIntel. The state’s agribusiness economy, conservative electorate, and strong prior support for Jair Bolsonaro have transferred to his son and Liberal Party candidate, reinforced by endorsements including from Governor Eduardo Riedel. Low single-digit showings for alternatives such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury have limited vote fragmentation. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors while acknowledging that shifts among undecided voters or late campaign developments within the narrow resolution window could still alter the outcome.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$10,672
Data di fine
1 lug 2027
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Mato Grosso?

Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Mato Grosso?

97%
Sì
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nella prossima elezione presidenziale brasiliana dal Rio Grande do Sul?

Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nella prossima elezione presidenziale brasiliana dal Rio Grande do Sul?

91%
Sì
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile dal Paraná?

Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile dal Paraná?

97%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso do Sul" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 97%, seguito da "Samara" a 1%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 97¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso do Sul" ha generato $10.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso do Sul", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso do Sul" è "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 97%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Samara" a 1%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso do Sul" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.