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Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Rio Grande do Norte

icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Rio Grande do Norte
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Rio Grande do Norte

Lula 89%

Edmilson Costa 44%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi 39%

Pablo Marçal 34%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Lula 89%

Edmilson Costa 44%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi 39%

Pablo Marçal 34%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Lula

Lula

$918 Vol.

83%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$172 Vol.

44%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$172 Vol.

39%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$172 Vol.

34%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$172 Vol.

33%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$172 Vol.

32%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$172 Vol.

30%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$172 Vol.

27%

icon for Samara

Samara

$172 Vol.

26%

icon for Zema

Zema

$172 Vol.

2%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$172 Vol.

2%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$172 Vol.

2%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$172 Vol.

2%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest position in this Rio Grande do Norte first-round market at 79.5% implied probability, reflecting the incumbent president’s established base in Brazil’s Northeast, where PT support has historically run deep in state-level voting patterns. National polling averages from early August place Lula ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and other contenders by double-digit margins in first-round scenarios, with regional dynamics in RN amplifying that edge. Lower-priced names such as Flavio Bolsonaro, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, and Ronaldo Caiado-aligned figures sit well behind, consistent with limited recent polling traction or campaign activity in the state. No major late-breaking developments in RN voting blocs or endorsements have shifted the trader consensus in the past month.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$2,982
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest position in this Rio Grande do Norte first-round market at 79.5% implied probability, reflecting the incumbent president’s established base in Brazil’s Northeast, where PT support has historically run deep in state-level voting patterns. National polling averages from early August place Lula ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and other contenders by double-digit margins in first-round scenarios, with regional dynamics in RN amplifying that edge. Lower-priced names such as Flavio Bolsonaro, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, and Ronaldo Caiado-aligned figures sit well behind, consistent with limited recent polling traction or campaign activity in the state. No major late-breaking developments in RN voting blocs or endorsements have shifted the trader consensus in the past month.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$2,982
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Correlati

icon for Pablo Marçal otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Rio Grande do Sul?

Pablo Marçal otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Rio Grande do Sul?

45%
Sì
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

52%
icon for Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile dal Pernambuco?

Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile dal Pernambuco?

95%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Rio Grande do Norte" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Lula" a 83%, seguito da "Edmilson Costa" a 22%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 83¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 83% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Rio Grande do Norte" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Rio Grande do Norte", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Rio Grande do Norte" è "Lula" a 83%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 83% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Edmilson Costa" a 22%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Rio Grande do Norte" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.