Lula holds a commanding position in the Pernambuco first-round vote on October 4, 2026, driven by his birth in Garanhuns within the state and decades of strong Workers’ Party infrastructure across the Northeast. Recent national polls place him at 39–42% overall, with markedly higher support in the region where he has consistently outperformed national averages. Opposition figures such as Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, and others register minimal traction locally amid a fragmented right-wing field. Official campaigning began in mid-August with Lula emphasizing social programs and economic measures that resonate in the state. While a major scandal, health event, or sharp turnout shift among opposition voters could theoretically narrow the gap, the current trader consensus reflects entrenched regional loyalty and limited credible challengers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPrimo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Pernambuco
Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Pernambuco
Lula 96.5%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.7%
Renan Santos <1%
Zema <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Lula
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
2%
Renan Santos
1%
Zema
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Scrittore Augusto Cury
<1%
Lula 96.5%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.7%
Renan Santos <1%
Zema <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Lula
$5,621 Vol.
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$382 Vol.
2%
Renan Santos
$267 Vol.
1%
Zema
$281 Vol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$267 Vol.
1%
Hertz Dias
$313 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$324 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$401 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$324 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$281 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$280 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$324 Vol.
<1%
Scrittore Augusto Cury
$324 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding position in the Pernambuco first-round vote on October 4, 2026, driven by his birth in Garanhuns within the state and decades of strong Workers’ Party infrastructure across the Northeast. Recent national polls place him at 39–42% overall, with markedly higher support in the region where he has consistently outperformed national averages. Opposition figures such as Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, and others register minimal traction locally amid a fragmented right-wing field. Official campaigning began in mid-August with Lula emphasizing social programs and economic measures that resonate in the state. While a major scandal, health event, or sharp turnout shift among opposition voters could theoretically narrow the gap, the current trader consensus reflects entrenched regional loyalty and limited credible challengers.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Volume
$9,388Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding position in the Pernambuco first-round vote on October 4, 2026, driven by his birth in Garanhuns within the state and decades of strong Workers’ Party infrastructure across the Northeast. Recent national polls place him at 39–42% overall, with markedly higher support in the region where he has consistently outperformed national averages. Opposition figures such as Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, and others register minimal traction locally amid a fragmented right-wing field. Official campaigning began in mid-August with Lula emphasizing social programs and economic measures that resonate in the state. While a major scandal, health event, or sharp turnout shift among opposition voters could theoretically narrow the gap, the current trader consensus reflects entrenched regional loyalty and limited credible challengers.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,388Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds a commanding position in the Pernambuco first-round vote on October 4, 2026, driven by his birth in Garanhuns within the state and decades of strong Workers’ Party infrastructure across the Northeast. Recent national polls place him at 39–42% overall, with markedly higher support in the region where he has consistently outperformed national averages. Opposition figures such as Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, and others register minimal traction locally amid a fragmented right-wing field. Official campaigning began in mid-August with Lula emphasizing social programs and economic measures that resonate in the state. While a major scandal, health event, or sharp turnout shift among opposition voters could theoretically narrow the gap, the current trader consensus reflects entrenched regional loyalty and limited credible challengers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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