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Politica·Brasile

Brasile Elezioni presidenziali Primo turno: 1° posto in Piauí

icon for Brasile Elezioni presidenziali Primo turno: 1° posto in Piauí
Politica·Brasile

Brasile Elezioni presidenziali Primo turno: 1° posto in Piauí

Lula 69%

Rui Costa Pimenta 24%

Ronaldo Caiado 23%

Hertz Dias 22%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Lula 69%

Rui Costa Pimenta 24%

Ronaldo Caiado 23%

Hertz Dias 22%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Lula

Lula

$318 Vol.

69%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$44 Vol.

24%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$44 Vol.

23%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$44 Vol.

22%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$44 Vol.

18%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$110 Vol.

3%

icon for Zema

Zema

$110 Vol.

3%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$110 Vol.

2%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$114 Vol.

2%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$87 Vol.

1%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$87 Vol.

1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$44 Vol.

23%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$44 Vol.

21%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding position at 74% reflects Piauí's longstanding pattern as a northeastern stronghold for Workers' Party candidates, reinforced by his formal nomination with Geraldo Alckmin as running mate ahead of the October 4 first round. National polls from August place Lula in the 38-44% range overall, with Flávio Bolsonaro trailing at 28-35% and figures like Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema in low single digits, yet regional dynamics amplify Lula's edge in states with strong PT loyalty. Recent campaign events, including Lula's convention and opposition family reconciliations, have not altered this state-level consensus, while lower odds for alternatives like Hertz Dias or Pablo Marçal align with limited local traction and the fragmented right-wing field. Trader pricing captures these structural and polling factors as the race enters its final weeks.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$1,198
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding position at 74% reflects Piauí's longstanding pattern as a northeastern stronghold for Workers' Party candidates, reinforced by his formal nomination with Geraldo Alckmin as running mate ahead of the October 4 first round. National polls from August place Lula in the 38-44% range overall, with Flávio Bolsonaro trailing at 28-35% and figures like Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema in low single digits, yet regional dynamics amplify Lula's edge in states with strong PT loyalty. Recent campaign events, including Lula's convention and opposition family reconciliations, have not altered this state-level consensus, while lower odds for alternatives like Hertz Dias or Pablo Marçal align with limited local traction and the fragmented right-wing field. Trader pricing captures these structural and polling factors as the race enters its final weeks.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$1,198
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Correlati

icon for Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Paraíba?

Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Paraíba?

50%
Sì
icon for Ronaldo Caiado otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane a San Paolo?

Ronaldo Caiado otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane a San Paolo?

47%
Sì
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile dal Paraná?

Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile dal Paraná?

71%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Brasile Elezioni presidenziali Primo turno: 1° posto in Piauí" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Lula" a 69%, seguito da "Rui Costa Pimenta" a 24%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 69¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 69% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Brasile Elezioni presidenziali Primo turno: 1° posto in Piauí" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Brasile Elezioni presidenziali Primo turno: 1° posto in Piauí", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Brasile Elezioni presidenziali Primo turno: 1° posto in Piauí" è "Lula" a 69%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 69% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Rui Costa Pimenta" a 24%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Brasile Elezioni presidenziali Primo turno: 1° posto in Piauí" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.