Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Pará
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Pará

icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Pará
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Pará

Lula 95%

Flavio Bolsonaro 4.8%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Hertz Dias <1%

Polymarket

$19,959 Vol.

Lula 95%

Flavio Bolsonaro 4.8%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Hertz Dias <1%

Polymarket

$19,959 Vol.

icon for Lula

Lula

$10,513 Vol.

95%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$1,243 Vol.

5%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$569 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$868 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$1,294 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$690 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$668 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$663 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$662 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$703 Vol.

<1%

icon for Scrittore Augusto Cury

Scrittore Augusto Cury

$490 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$608 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$989 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in recent Pará-specific polling for the 2026 Brazilian presidential first round, with surveys from July through mid-September showing the incumbent president at 37-49% against Flávio Bolsonaro's 28-38% and single-digit support for all other listed contenders. This positioning reflects sustained voter preferences in the state ahead of the October 4 vote, reinforced by Lula's incumbency and regional backing amid a fragmented field. Trader consensus at 94% for Lula aligns with these patterns and the limited remaining campaign window. Factors that could still alter the outcome include a sharp late swing toward a rising name such as Augusto Cury, unusually high undecided turnout, or unforeseen campaign developments in the final weeks.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$19,959
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in recent Pará-specific polling for the 2026 Brazilian presidential first round, with surveys from July through mid-September showing the incumbent president at 37-49% against Flávio Bolsonaro's 28-38% and single-digit support for all other listed contenders. This positioning reflects sustained voter preferences in the state ahead of the October 4 vote, reinforced by Lula's incumbency and regional backing amid a fragmented field. Trader consensus at 94% for Lula aligns with these patterns and the limited remaining campaign window. Factors that could still alter the outcome include a sharp late swing toward a rising name such as Augusto Cury, unusually high undecided turnout, or unforeseen campaign developments in the final weeks.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$19,959
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Paraíba?

Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Paraíba?

98%
Sì
icon for Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

71%
Sì
icon for Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Amazonas?

Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Amazonas?

62%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Pará" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Lula" a 95%, seguito da "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 5%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 95¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Pará" ha generato $20K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Pará", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Pará" è "Lula" a 95%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 5%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Pará" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.