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icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Amazonas
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Amazonas

icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Amazonas
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Amazonas

Rui Costa Pimenta 43%

Samara 43%

Veterinario Wilson Grassi 43%

Zema 43%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Rui Costa Pimenta 43%

Samara 43%

Veterinario Wilson Grassi 43%

Zema 43%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Samara

Samara

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Veterinario Wilson Grassi

Veterinario Wilson Grassi

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Zema

Zema

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Scrittore Augusto Cury

Scrittore Augusto Cury

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Lula

Lula

$0 Vol.

40%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The Amazonas first-round contest stays highly competitive due to entrenched regional polarization between leftist and right-wing voters, with national frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro positioned as the main contenders for the most votes on October 4. Local factors including Amazon development policy, agribusiness interests, and security concerns sustain support for PL-aligned candidates while PT retains backing in urban and certain rural areas. Recent national polls show Lula holding a modest lead over Flávio Bolsonaro, yet Amazonas-specific surveys indicate tighter margins than the national average. Other listed candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos register lower support and face structural barriers to topping the state ballot. Trader pricing captures this uncertainty, with separation likely hinging on turnout patterns, late endorsements, or economic signals before the vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The Amazonas first-round contest stays highly competitive due to entrenched regional polarization between leftist and right-wing voters, with national frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro positioned as the main contenders for the most votes on October 4. Local factors including Amazon development policy, agribusiness interests, and security concerns sustain support for PL-aligned candidates while PT retains backing in urban and certain rural areas. Recent national polls show Lula holding a modest lead over Flávio Bolsonaro, yet Amazonas-specific surveys indicate tighter margins than the national average. Other listed candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos register lower support and face structural barriers to topping the state ballot. Trader pricing captures this uncertainty, with separation likely hinging on turnout patterns, late endorsements, or economic signals before the vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Correlati

icon for Ronaldo Caiado otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Pará?

Ronaldo Caiado otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Pará?

39%
Sì
icon for Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Paraíba?

Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Paraíba?

86%
Sì
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

52%

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Domande frequenti

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Amazonas" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Rui Costa Pimenta" a 43%, seguito da "Samara" a 43%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 43¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 43% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Amazonas" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Amazonas", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Amazonas" è "Rui Costa Pimenta" a 43%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 43% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Samara" a 43%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Amazonas" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.