Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Paraná
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Paraná

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Paraná
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Paraná

Sergio Moro 84%

Sandro Alex 16%

Requião Filho 2.4%

Rafael Greca <1%

Polymarket

$183,049 Vol.

Sergio Moro 84%

Sandro Alex 16%

Requião Filho 2.4%

Rafael Greca <1%

Polymarket

$183,049 Vol.

Sergio Moro

$120,598 Vol.

84%

Sandro Alex

$17,236 Vol.

16%

Requião Filho

$21,505 Vol.

2%

Rafael Greca

$3,403 Vol.

<1%

Guto Silva

$3,022 Vol.

<1%

Alexandre Curi

$5,452 Vol.

<1%

Beto Richa

$2,625 Vol.

<1%

Enio Verri

$3,396 Vol.

<1%

Luiz França

$5,812 Vol.

<1%

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Paraná governor race, with recent polls from mid-September showing him at 44.7–49.1% of first-round intentions, far ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) at 23–28.2% and Sandro Alex (PSD) at 18.6–19.7%. As a sitting senator and former Lava Jato judge who joined the PL in March 2026, Moro benefits from strong name recognition and anti-corruption messaging in a contest without an incumbent. Sandro Alex, positioned as the continuity candidate backed by term-limited Governor Ratinho Junior, trails amid lower voter preference, while Requião Filho draws opposition support. Multiple surveys indicate Moro could secure victory outright on October 4 if he clears 50% of valid votes, shaping trader assessments of the frontrunner's path.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$183,049
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Paraná governor race, with recent polls from mid-September showing him at 44.7–49.1% of first-round intentions, far ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) at 23–28.2% and Sandro Alex (PSD) at 18.6–19.7%. As a sitting senator and former Lava Jato judge who joined the PL in March 2026, Moro benefits from strong name recognition and anti-corruption messaging in a contest without an incumbent. Sandro Alex, positioned as the continuity candidate backed by term-limited Governor Ratinho Junior, trails amid lower voter preference, while Requião Filho draws opposition support. Multiple surveys indicate Moro could secure victory outright on October 4 if he clears 50% of valid votes, shaping trader assessments of the frontrunner's path.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$183,049
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Tarcísio de Freitas vincerà le elezioni governative di San Paolo del 2026?

Tarcísio de Freitas vincerà le elezioni governative di San Paolo del 2026?

98%
Sì
icon for Lucas Ribeiro vincerà le elezioni per il Governatore della Paraíba?

Lucas Ribeiro vincerà le elezioni per il Governatore della Paraíba?

81%
Sì
icon for Rafael Fonteles vincerà le elezioni governatoriali del Piauí del 2026?

Rafael Fonteles vincerà le elezioni governatoriali del Piauí del 2026?

99%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Paraná" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Sergio Moro" a 84%, seguito da "Sandro Alex" a 16%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 84¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 84% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Paraná" ha generato $183K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 9, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Paraná", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Paraná" è "Sergio Moro" a 84%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 84% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Sandro Alex" a 16%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Paraná" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.