The Sonora gubernatorial race for 2027 remains wide open more than a year before voting, with trader prices reflecting fragmented early positioning across multiple parties and no confirmed nominees. Morena’s internal preferences show Célida Teresa López Cárdenas, Javier Lamarque Cano, and Lorenia Valles Sampedro clustered near the top of recent surveys, while PRI, PAN, and Movimiento Ciudadano figures such as Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez, Lilly Téllez García, and others trail in comparable ranges. State cabinet members and former officials dominate the field, but coalition negotiations, primary mechanics, and potential independent candidacies have yet to consolidate support. The absence of decisive polling leads or major endorsements keeps implied probabilities closely bunched, with separation likely only after party conventions and the start of formal campaigning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAntonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 32%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 29%
Rogelio Díaz Brown 28%
María Dolores del Río Sánchez 27%

Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
32%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
29%

Rogelio Díaz Brown
28%

María Dolores del Río Sánchez
27%

Manuel Scott Sánchez
27%

Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
26%

Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
26%

Lorenia Valles Sampedro
26%

Víctor Hugo Celaya
26%

Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
25%

Damián Zepeda Vidales
24%

Guadalupe María Soto
24%

Lilly Téllez García
23%

Ernesto Gándara Camou
23%

Patricia Mercado Castro
22%

Omar del Valle Colosio
22%

Natalia Rivera Grijalva
21%

Javier Lamarque Cano
20%

Froylán Gámez Gamboa
19%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 32%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 29%
Rogelio Díaz Brown 28%
María Dolores del Río Sánchez 27%

Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
32%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
29%

Rogelio Díaz Brown
28%

María Dolores del Río Sánchez
27%

Manuel Scott Sánchez
27%

Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
26%

Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
26%

Lorenia Valles Sampedro
26%

Víctor Hugo Celaya
26%

Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
25%

Damián Zepeda Vidales
24%

Guadalupe María Soto
24%

Lilly Téllez García
23%

Ernesto Gándara Camou
23%

Patricia Mercado Castro
22%

Omar del Valle Colosio
22%

Natalia Rivera Grijalva
21%

Javier Lamarque Cano
20%

Froylán Gámez Gamboa
19%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sonora gubernatorial race for 2027 remains wide open more than a year before voting, with trader prices reflecting fragmented early positioning across multiple parties and no confirmed nominees. Morena’s internal preferences show Célida Teresa López Cárdenas, Javier Lamarque Cano, and Lorenia Valles Sampedro clustered near the top of recent surveys, while PRI, PAN, and Movimiento Ciudadano figures such as Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez, Lilly Téllez García, and others trail in comparable ranges. State cabinet members and former officials dominate the field, but coalition negotiations, primary mechanics, and potential independent candidacies have yet to consolidate support. The absence of decisive polling leads or major endorsements keeps implied probabilities closely bunched, with separation likely only after party conventions and the start of formal campaigning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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