Skip to main content
icon for Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Kaohsiung

Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Kaohsiung

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Kaohsiung

Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Kaohsiung

Lai Jui-lung 81%

Ko Chih-en 13.1%

Chiu Yi-ying 5.0%

Hsu Chih-chieh 5.0%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Lai Jui-lung 81%

Ko Chih-en 13.1%

Chiu Yi-ying 5.0%

Hsu Chih-chieh 5.0%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Lai Jui-lung

Lai Jui-lung

$1,083 Vol.

81%

icon for Ko Chih-en

Ko Chih-en

$111 Vol.

13%

icon for Chiu Yi-ying

Chiu Yi-ying

$81 Vol.

5%

icon for Hsu Chih-chieh

Hsu Chih-chieh

$135 Vol.

5%

icon for Lin Tai-hua

Lin Tai-hua

$83 Vol.

3%

icon for Chang Ching

Chang Ching

$87 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung holds an overwhelming lead in the Kaohsiung mayoral race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following his January 2026 primary victory over rivals including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. Recent surveys through mid-2026 show him consistently ahead of Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en across demographics and districts, though margins fluctuate and some results fall within sampling error. President William Lai’s recent campaign appearances have reinforced DPP organizational support in the city. With the November 28 vote still months away, trader consensus reflected in current pricing centers on Lai’s incumbency advantages and polling strength, while Ko’s path depends on narrowing gaps through turnout and undecided voters in a contest where third-party or independent options register minimal support.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,579
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung holds an overwhelming lead in the Kaohsiung mayoral race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following his January 2026 primary victory over rivals including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. Recent surveys through mid-2026 show him consistently ahead of Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en across demographics and districts, though margins fluctuate and some results fall within sampling error. President William Lai’s recent campaign appearances have reinforced DPP organizational support in the city. With the November 28 vote still months away, trader consensus reflected in current pricing centers on Lai’s incumbency advantages and polling strength, while Ko’s path depends on narrowing gaps through turnout and undecided voters in a contest where third-party or independent options register minimal support.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,579
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Kaohsiung" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Lai Jui-lung" a 81%, seguito da "Ko Chih-en" a 13%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 81¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 81% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Kaohsiung" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 14, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Kaohsiung", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Kaohsiung" è "Lai Jui-lung" a 81%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 81% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Ko Chih-en" a 13%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Kaohsiung" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.