The early-stage Nayarit 2027 gubernatorial race features a dominant Morena-PT-PVEM coalition in party preference polling around 50 percent, yet fragmented support among individual aspirants keeps individual outcome prices clustered in the 20-40 percent range. Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez, a sitting PVEM senator, and contenders including Héctor Santana García, Geraldine Ponce Méndez, María Elizabeth López Blanco, and Pavel Jarero Velázquez remain closely matched in internal surveys released through July 2026, with leadership shifting across pollsters. Candidate meetings with national party leadership, registration timelines, and requests for leave from current posts have not yet produced a decisive frontrunner. This dispersion reflects the absence of a finalized nomination process or general-election campaigning, leaving room for upcoming internal votes, additional polling, or coalition negotiations to consolidate trader probabilities around one or two profiles before the 2027 ballot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoManuel Cota Jiménez 30%
María Elizabeth López Blanco 25%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 25%
José Ramón Cambero Pérez 24%

Manuel Cota Jiménez
30%

María Elizabeth López Blanco
25%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
25%

José Ramón Cambero Pérez
24%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez
21%

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
31%

José Antonio Barajas López
27%

Paola Vargas Arciniega
9%

Luis Zamora Carrillo
8%

Gloria Núñez Sánchez
8%

Héctor Santana García
7%

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
7%

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
7%

Enrique Díaz López
7%

Ignacio Flores Medina
7%

Nadia Ramírez López
7%

Citlalli Rubí Huerta
7%

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
7%

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
6%

Pavel Jarero Velázquez
6%

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
6%

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
22%
Manuel Cota Jiménez 30%
María Elizabeth López Blanco 25%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 25%
José Ramón Cambero Pérez 24%

Manuel Cota Jiménez
30%

María Elizabeth López Blanco
25%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
25%

José Ramón Cambero Pérez
24%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez
21%

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
31%

José Antonio Barajas López
27%

Paola Vargas Arciniega
9%

Luis Zamora Carrillo
8%

Gloria Núñez Sánchez
8%

Héctor Santana García
7%

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
7%

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
7%

Enrique Díaz López
7%

Ignacio Flores Medina
7%

Nadia Ramírez López
7%

Citlalli Rubí Huerta
7%

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
7%

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
6%

Pavel Jarero Velázquez
6%

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
6%

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
22%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The early-stage Nayarit 2027 gubernatorial race features a dominant Morena-PT-PVEM coalition in party preference polling around 50 percent, yet fragmented support among individual aspirants keeps individual outcome prices clustered in the 20-40 percent range. Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez, a sitting PVEM senator, and contenders including Héctor Santana García, Geraldine Ponce Méndez, María Elizabeth López Blanco, and Pavel Jarero Velázquez remain closely matched in internal surveys released through July 2026, with leadership shifting across pollsters. Candidate meetings with national party leadership, registration timelines, and requests for leave from current posts have not yet produced a decisive frontrunner. This dispersion reflects the absence of a finalized nomination process or general-election campaigning, leaving room for upcoming internal votes, additional polling, or coalition negotiations to consolidate trader probabilities around one or two profiles before the 2027 ballot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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