Russia's September 2026 State Duma election features United Russia expected to secure first place through administrative resources and single-mandate districts, leaving second place contested among registered opposition parties. Recent VCIOM polls show New People gaining ground with youth and urban voters amid economic pressures, yet FOM surveys place the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia or Communist Party of the Russian Federation ahead due to established nationalist and regional bases. Traders assign the highest probability to the Communist Party of the Russian Federation for second place, reflecting its consistent historical performance in proportional lists and resilience despite internal strains. Upcoming party conventions and regional voting trends could shift momentum before the September vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 61%
New People (NL) 26%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 13%
United Russia (ER) 3.0%
$16,191 Vol.
$16,191 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
3%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
61%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
13%

New People (NL)
26%

Rodina
1%

Civic Platform (GP)
2%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 61%
New People (NL) 26%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 13%
United Russia (ER) 3.0%
$16,191 Vol.
$16,191 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
3%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
61%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
13%

New People (NL)
26%

Rodina
1%

Civic Platform (GP)
2%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercato aperto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Russia's September 2026 State Duma election features United Russia expected to secure first place through administrative resources and single-mandate districts, leaving second place contested among registered opposition parties. Recent VCIOM polls show New People gaining ground with youth and urban voters amid economic pressures, yet FOM surveys place the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia or Communist Party of the Russian Federation ahead due to established nationalist and regional bases. Traders assign the highest probability to the Communist Party of the Russian Federation for second place, reflecting its consistent historical performance in proportional lists and resilience despite internal strains. Upcoming party conventions and regional voting trends could shift momentum before the September vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti