Skip to main content
icon for Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Taoyuan
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Taoyuan

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Taoyuan
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Taoyuan

Chang San-cheng 89%

Huang Shih-chieh 2.8%

Perng Shaw-jiin <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Chang San-cheng 89%

Huang Shih-chieh 2.8%

Perng Shaw-jiin <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Chang San-cheng

Chang San-cheng

$2,769 Vol.

89%

icon for Huang Shih-chieh

Huang Shih-chieh

$1,532 Vol.

7%

icon for Perng Shaw-jiin

Perng Shaw-jiin

$1,216 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Chang San-cheng, the Kuomintang nominee seeking re-election in Taoyuan's November 2026 mayoral race, holds a commanding lead in trader pricing due to his established position and consistent polling advantage over Democratic Progressive Party challenger Huang Shih-chieh. KMT party efforts, including a July 2026 national convention rally backing Chang alongside other candidates, have reinforced organizational support ahead of the vote. Huang's April 2026 DPP nomination and earlier March polling showing Chang ahead have not shifted momentum, with no major recent scandals, candidate withdrawals, or late developments altering the race. Perng Shaw-jiin and other listed options remain marginal, reflecting limited perceived viability in current conditions.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$5,517
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Chang San-cheng, the Kuomintang nominee seeking re-election in Taoyuan's November 2026 mayoral race, holds a commanding lead in trader pricing due to his established position and consistent polling advantage over Democratic Progressive Party challenger Huang Shih-chieh. KMT party efforts, including a July 2026 national convention rally backing Chang alongside other candidates, have reinforced organizational support ahead of the vote. Huang's April 2026 DPP nomination and earlier March polling showing Chang ahead have not shifted momentum, with no major recent scandals, candidate withdrawals, or late developments altering the race. Perng Shaw-jiin and other listed options remain marginal, reflecting limited perceived viability in current conditions.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$5,517
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Correlati

icon for Chiang Wan-an vincerà le prossime elezioni per il sindaco di Taipei?

Chiang Wan-an vincerà le prossime elezioni per il sindaco di Taipei?

91%
Sì
icon for Lee Shu-chuan vincerà le prossime elezioni per sindaco di Nuova Taipei?

Lee Shu-chuan vincerà le prossime elezioni per sindaco di Nuova Taipei?

78%
Sì
icon for Johnny Chiang vincerà le prossime elezioni per il sindaco di Taichung?

Johnny Chiang vincerà le prossime elezioni per il sindaco di Taichung?

89%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Taoyuan" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Chang San-cheng" a 89%, seguito da "Huang Shih-chieh" a 7%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 89¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Taoyuan" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 14, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Taoyuan", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Taoyuan" è "Chang San-cheng" a 89%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Huang Shih-chieh" a 7%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Taoyuan" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.