Recent polling fluctuations among Russia's systemic opposition parties keep the contest for third place in the September 2026 State Duma election tightly balanced between the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, New People, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. VCIOM surveys have shown New People reaching or exceeding 13 percent in recent weeks on the strength of its appeal to younger and middle-class voters, while FOM face-to-face results place the LDPR slightly ahead at around 10 percent and the KPRF close behind. This methodological variance, combined with the managed nature of the campaign environment, sustains the narrow market probabilities. The official campaign period beginning in mid-June and any further regional assembly outcomes could shift visibility or administrative support among the three contenders before votes are cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLiberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
New People (NL) 28%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 18%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
United Russia (ER)
4%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
30%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
14%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%
New People (NL)
32%
Rodina
2%
Civic Platform (GP)
5%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
New People (NL) 28%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 18%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
United Russia (ER)
$66 Vol.
4%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$108 Vol.
30%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$70 Vol.
14%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$135 Vol.
33%
New People (NL)
$74 Vol.
32%
Rodina
$230 Vol.
2%
Civic Platform (GP)
$132 Vol.
5%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling fluctuations among Russia's systemic opposition parties keep the contest for third place in the September 2026 State Duma election tightly balanced between the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, New People, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. VCIOM surveys have shown New People reaching or exceeding 13 percent in recent weeks on the strength of its appeal to younger and middle-class voters, while FOM face-to-face results place the LDPR slightly ahead at around 10 percent and the KPRF close behind. This methodological variance, combined with the managed nature of the campaign environment, sustains the narrow market probabilities. The official campaign period beginning in mid-June and any further regional assembly outcomes could shift visibility or administrative support among the three contenders before votes are cast.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercato aperto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volume
$814Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling fluctuations among Russia's systemic opposition parties keep the contest for third place in the September 2026 State Duma election tightly balanced between the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, New People, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. VCIOM surveys have shown New People reaching or exceeding 13 percent in recent weeks on the strength of its appeal to younger and middle-class voters, while FOM face-to-face results place the LDPR slightly ahead at around 10 percent and the KPRF close behind. This methodological variance, combined with the managed nature of the campaign environment, sustains the narrow market probabilities. The official campaign period beginning in mid-June and any further regional assembly outcomes could shift visibility or administrative support among the three contenders before votes are cast.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$814Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling fluctuations among Russia's systemic opposition parties keep the contest for third place in the September 2026 State Duma election tightly balanced between the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, New People, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. VCIOM surveys have shown New People reaching or exceeding 13 percent in recent weeks on the strength of its appeal to younger and middle-class voters, while FOM face-to-face results place the LDPR slightly ahead at around 10 percent and the KPRF close behind. This methodological variance, combined with the managed nature of the campaign environment, sustains the narrow market probabilities. The official campaign period beginning in mid-June and any further regional assembly outcomes could shift visibility or administrative support among the three contenders before votes are cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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