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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Chiayi
Elezioni·Elezioni Principali

Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Chiayi

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Chiayi
Elezioni·Elezioni Principali

Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Chiayi

Wang Mei-hui 78%

Chang Chi-kai 15%

Huang Hung-cheng 5.1%

Chen Chia-ping 4.3%

Polymarket

$10,695 Vol.

Wang Mei-hui 78%

Chang Chi-kai 15%

Huang Hung-cheng 5.1%

Chen Chia-ping 4.3%

Polymarket

$10,695 Vol.

icon for Wang Mei-hui

Wang Mei-hui

$7,739 Vol.

78%

icon for Chang Chi-kai

Chang Chi-kai

$1,617 Vol.

15%

icon for Huang Hung-cheng

Huang Hung-cheng

$344 Vol.

5%

icon for Chen Chia-ping

Chen Chia-ping

$248 Vol.

4%

icon for Chen Kai-huang

Chen Kai-huang

$240 Vol.

3%

icon for Weng Shou-liang

Weng Shou-liang

$508 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Mei-hui, the Democratic Progressive Party legislator representing Chiayi City since 2020 and the party's official nominee, holds the leading market position amid the November 2026 local elections. Recent polling shows her ahead of Taiwan People's Party candidate Chang Chi-kai, the opposition figure selected through a Blue-White alliance process earlier in 2026. Key drivers include voter demographic patterns, with older residents favoring the DPP and Chiayi's historical party alignment, alongside the absence of major late disruptions. Lower-priced outcomes such as Huang Hung-cheng, Chen Chia-ping, and other independents or minor party entrants reflect limited primary momentum and weaker polling visibility. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with established local election patterns where the DPP nominee maintains an edge in this constituency three months before voting.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$10,695
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Mei-hui, the Democratic Progressive Party legislator representing Chiayi City since 2020 and the party's official nominee, holds the leading market position amid the November 2026 local elections. Recent polling shows her ahead of Taiwan People's Party candidate Chang Chi-kai, the opposition figure selected through a Blue-White alliance process earlier in 2026. Key drivers include voter demographic patterns, with older residents favoring the DPP and Chiayi's historical party alignment, alongside the absence of major late disruptions. Lower-priced outcomes such as Huang Hung-cheng, Chen Chia-ping, and other independents or minor party entrants reflect limited primary momentum and weaker polling visibility. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with established local election patterns where the DPP nominee maintains an edge in this constituency three months before voting.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$10,695
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Correlati

icon for Tsai Yi-yu vincerà le prossime elezioni per Magistrato della Contea di Chiayi?

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Chiayi" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Wang Mei-hui" a 78%, seguito da "Chang Chi-kai" a 15%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 78¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 78% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Chiayi" ha generato $10.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 14, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Chiayi", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Chiayi" è "Wang Mei-hui" a 78%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 78% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Chang Chi-kai" a 15%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Chiayi" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.