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Elezioni·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Paraíba

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Paraíba
Elezioni·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Paraíba

Cícero Lucena 41%

Veneziano Vital do Rêgo 20.9%

Efraim Filho 13%

Nilvan Ferreira 6.6%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Cícero Lucena 41%

Veneziano Vital do Rêgo 20.9%

Efraim Filho 13%

Nilvan Ferreira 6.6%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Cícero Lucena

$2,374 Vol.

41%

Veneziano Vital do Rêgo

$145 Vol.

21%

Efraim Filho

$81 Vol.

13%

Nilvan Ferreira

$81 Vol.

7%

Marcelo Queiroga

$101 Vol.

5%

Romero Rodrigues

$210 Vol.

3%

Flávio Lúcio

$168 Vol.

2%

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round, with trader pricing reflecting Cícero Lucena (MDB) as the narrow frontrunner at 41% amid a crowded field. Recent May 2026 polling shows a technical tie between Lucena and incumbent Governor Lucas Ribeiro (PP) in the opening round, followed by Efraim Filho (PL), while second-round simulations favor Lucena over both. Key dynamics include the post-resignation transition to Ribeiro, MDB internal consolidation around Lucena and potential Senate moves by Veneziano Vital do Rêgo, and high undecided shares that sustain volatility. Alliances, turnout patterns in key municipalities, and any late candidate withdrawals or endorsements could shift implied probabilities before voting begins.

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$3,160
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round, with trader pricing reflecting Cícero Lucena (MDB) as the narrow frontrunner at 41% amid a crowded field. Recent May 2026 polling shows a technical tie between Lucena and incumbent Governor Lucas Ribeiro (PP) in the opening round, followed by Efraim Filho (PL), while second-round simulations favor Lucena over both. Key dynamics include the post-resignation transition to Ribeiro, MDB internal consolidation around Lucena and potential Senate moves by Veneziano Vital do Rêgo, and high undecided shares that sustain volatility. Alliances, turnout patterns in key municipalities, and any late candidate withdrawals or endorsements could shift implied probabilities before voting begins.

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$3,160
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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"Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Paraíba" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Cícero Lucena" a 41%, seguito da "Veneziano Vital do Rêgo" a 21%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 41¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 41% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Paraíba" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jun 12, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Paraíba", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Paraíba" è "Cícero Lucena" a 41%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 41% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Veneziano Vital do Rêgo" a 21%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Paraíba" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.