Lucas Ribeiro holds the strongest position in the Paraíba gubernatorial race as the incumbent who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling averages from early September show him leading with 35–43% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL), reflecting advantages from his PP-led coalition, established administrative record, and family political networks. Ongoing campaign events, including his September 16 sabatina where he emphasized reducing illiteracy, poverty, and expanding health regionalization, alongside similar policy-focused interviews by rivals, have kept the contest centered on incumbency benefits and voter priorities ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus assigns him an 81.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with these structural and polling dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLucas Ribeiro 82%
Efraim Filho 10%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Flávio Lúcio 1.3%
$62,668 Vol.
$62,668 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
82%
Efraim Filho
10%
Cícero Lucena
6%
Flávio Lúcio
1%
Nilvan Ferreira
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
Romero Rodrigues
1%
Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Lucas Ribeiro 82%
Efraim Filho 10%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Flávio Lúcio 1.3%
$62,668 Vol.
$62,668 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
$18,684 Vol.
82%
Efraim Filho
$14,308 Vol.
10%
Cícero Lucena
$20,569 Vol.
6%
Flávio Lúcio
$881 Vol.
1%
Nilvan Ferreira
$899 Vol.
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$2,436 Vol.
1%
Romero Rodrigues
$1,511 Vol.
1%
Marcelo Queiroga
$3,381 Vol.
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro holds the strongest position in the Paraíba gubernatorial race as the incumbent who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling averages from early September show him leading with 35–43% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL), reflecting advantages from his PP-led coalition, established administrative record, and family political networks. Ongoing campaign events, including his September 16 sabatina where he emphasized reducing illiteracy, poverty, and expanding health regionalization, alongside similar policy-focused interviews by rivals, have kept the contest centered on incumbency benefits and voter priorities ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus assigns him an 81.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with these structural and polling dynamics.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Volume
$62,668Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro holds the strongest position in the Paraíba gubernatorial race as the incumbent who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling averages from early September show him leading with 35–43% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL), reflecting advantages from his PP-led coalition, established administrative record, and family political networks. Ongoing campaign events, including his September 16 sabatina where he emphasized reducing illiteracy, poverty, and expanding health regionalization, alongside similar policy-focused interviews by rivals, have kept the contest centered on incumbency benefits and voter priorities ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus assigns him an 81.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with these structural and polling dynamics.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$62,668Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Lucas Ribeiro holds the strongest position in the Paraíba gubernatorial race as the incumbent who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling averages from early September show him leading with 35–43% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL), reflecting advantages from his PP-led coalition, established administrative record, and family political networks. Ongoing campaign events, including his September 16 sabatina where he emphasized reducing illiteracy, poverty, and expanding health regionalization, alongside similar policy-focused interviews by rivals, have kept the contest centered on incumbency benefits and voter priorities ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus assigns him an 81.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with these structural and polling dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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