Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes remains in office and continues issuing rulings on major cases, including his May 2026 suspension of legislation that could reduce former President Jair Bolsonaro’s sentence for coup-related convictions. No impeachment motion has secured the necessary congressional support to advance, despite repeated opposition efforts and past sanctions disputes with the United States that were later lifted. Brazilian removal procedures require broad Senate approval, a threshold unmet amid the current legislative balance and institutional resistance to altering court composition. This stable position underpins the 85 percent implied probability that Moraes will not depart before any specified resolution date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$27,471 Vol.
$27,471 Vol.
Sì
$27,471 Vol.
$27,471 Vol.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes remains in office and continues issuing rulings on major cases, including his May 2026 suspension of legislation that could reduce former President Jair Bolsonaro’s sentence for coup-related convictions. No impeachment motion has secured the necessary congressional support to advance, despite repeated opposition efforts and past sanctions disputes with the United States that were later lifted. Brazilian removal procedures require broad Senate approval, a threshold unmet amid the current legislative balance and institutional resistance to altering court composition. This stable position underpins the 85 percent implied probability that Moraes will not depart before any specified resolution date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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