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icon for Putin uscirà da presidente della Russia entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

Putin uscirà da presidente della Russia entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

icon for Putin uscirà da presidente della Russia entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

Putin uscirà da presidente della Russia entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

12% probabilità
Polymarket

$4,270,274 Vol.

12% probabilità
Polymarket

$4,270,274 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Russian President Vladimir Putin remains firmly entrenched in power following his May 9, 2026, Victory Day parade appearance in Moscow, where he publicly addressed the Ukraine conflict as nearing an end and vowed continued resolve, dispelling immediate speculation despite unverified health rumors over his visibly aged look. Heightened Kremlin security measures reported in early May, attributed to assassination or coup fears by Western intelligence, reflect regime caution amid ongoing war strains but show no elite fractures or institutional challenges to his leadership. Traders' 88.5% implied probability on "No" aligns with Putin's constitutional term extending to 2030, historical dismissal of recurrent health claims, and absence of verified catalysts like resignation statements, no-confidence votes, or successor announcements in the past 30 days. Late-breaking diplomatic shifts or health disclosures could alter consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,270,274
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Risolutore

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Russian President Vladimir Putin remains firmly entrenched in power following his May 9, 2026, Victory Day parade appearance in Moscow, where he publicly addressed the Ukraine conflict as nearing an end and vowed continued resolve, dispelling immediate speculation despite unverified health rumors over his visibly aged look. Heightened Kremlin security measures reported in early May, attributed to assassination or coup fears by Western intelligence, reflect regime caution amid ongoing war strains but show no elite fractures or institutional challenges to his leadership. Traders' 88.5% implied probability on "No" aligns with Putin's constitutional term extending to 2030, historical dismissal of recurrent health claims, and absence of verified catalysts like resignation statements, no-confidence votes, or successor announcements in the past 30 days. Late-breaking diplomatic shifts or health disclosures could alter consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,270,274
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Risolutore

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Putin uscirà da presidente della Russia entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Putin fuori come Presidente della Russia entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" a 12%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 12¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 12% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Putin uscirà da presidente della Russia entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" ha generato $4.3 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 6, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Putin uscirà da presidente della Russia entro il 31 dicembre 2026?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Putin uscirà da presidente della Russia entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" è "Putin fuori come Presidente della Russia entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" a 12%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 12% a quell'esito. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Putin uscirà da presidente della Russia entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.