Ukraine's wartime governance under martial law has consolidated authority around President Volodymyr Zelensky and the parliamentary majority, with no verified reports of elite fractures, military dissent, or public mobilization that could support a coup attempt by June 30. Ongoing Russian strikes and incremental battlefield pressure in Donetsk oblast have instead reinforced national cohesion, while Western security assistance continues to underpin institutional continuity. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent for "No" reflects the absence of any credible domestic triggers in recent weeks. Even modest shifts would require sudden major reversals on the front lines or unforeseen diplomatic ruptures, neither of which appears imminent within the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$12,266 Vol.
$12,266 Vol.
30 giu 2026
$12,266 Vol.
$12,266 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's wartime governance under martial law has consolidated authority around President Volodymyr Zelensky and the parliamentary majority, with no verified reports of elite fractures, military dissent, or public mobilization that could support a coup attempt by June 30. Ongoing Russian strikes and incremental battlefield pressure in Donetsk oblast have instead reinforced national cohesion, while Western security assistance continues to underpin institutional continuity. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent for "No" reflects the absence of any credible domestic triggers in recent weeks. Even modest shifts would require sudden major reversals on the front lines or unforeseen diplomatic ruptures, neither of which appears imminent within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Volume
$12,266Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's wartime governance under martial law has consolidated authority around President Volodymyr Zelensky and the parliamentary majority, with no verified reports of elite fractures, military dissent, or public mobilization that could support a coup attempt by June 30. Ongoing Russian strikes and incremental battlefield pressure in Donetsk oblast have instead reinforced national cohesion, while Western security assistance continues to underpin institutional continuity. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent for "No" reflects the absence of any credible domestic triggers in recent weeks. Even modest shifts would require sudden major reversals on the front lines or unforeseen diplomatic ruptures, neither of which appears imminent within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$12,266Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's wartime governance under martial law has consolidated authority around President Volodymyr Zelensky and the parliamentary majority, with no verified reports of elite fractures, military dissent, or public mobilization that could support a coup attempt by June 30. Ongoing Russian strikes and incremental battlefield pressure in Donetsk oblast have instead reinforced national cohesion, while Western security assistance continues to underpin institutional continuity. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent for "No" reflects the absence of any credible domestic triggers in recent weeks. Even modest shifts would require sudden major reversals on the front lines or unforeseen diplomatic ruptures, neither of which appears imminent within the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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