Ongoing battlefield momentum and stalled diplomatic tracks underpin the 81% trader consensus against a Russia-Ukraine peace parlay. Recent Geneva and Abu Dhabi sessions produced only prisoner swaps with no movement on core territorial or security issues, while Russian statements in April signaled low urgency for resumed talks. Frontline advances, short holiday truces that quickly unraveled, and persistent disagreements over NATO alignment and Donbas concessions have kept both sides in entrenched positions. Historical patterns of incremental gains without decisive shifts further align with the current pricing, reflecting market assessment of limited near-term de-escalation prospects.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$468,743 Vol.
$468,743 Vol.
Sì
$468,743 Vol.
$468,743 Vol.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Mercato aperto: Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing battlefield momentum and stalled diplomatic tracks underpin the 81% trader consensus against a Russia-Ukraine peace parlay. Recent Geneva and Abu Dhabi sessions produced only prisoner swaps with no movement on core territorial or security issues, while Russian statements in April signaled low urgency for resumed talks. Frontline advances, short holiday truces that quickly unraveled, and persistent disagreements over NATO alignment and Donbas concessions have kept both sides in entrenched positions. Historical patterns of incremental gains without decisive shifts further align with the current pricing, reflecting market assessment of limited near-term de-escalation prospects.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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