Ongoing military operations and stalled diplomatic efforts continue to shape trader views on the low likelihood of a Ukrainian peace referendum passing before 2027. Core disputes over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and Ukrainian neutrality remain unresolved despite earlier US-mediated talks in Geneva and other venues earlier in 2026. Russia's rejection of direct leader-level meetings in early June, coupled with insistence on achieving stated objectives before halting hostilities, has further reduced prospects for a near-term ceasefire required to enable voting under martial law. Extensions of martial law through August 2026 and public polling showing limited support for major territorial compromises reinforce barriers, with any referendum contingent on a prior binding agreement that traders assess as improbable within the timeframe.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl referendum per la pace in Ucraina è passato prima del 2027?
Il referendum per la pace in Ucraina è passato prima del 2027?
Sì
$28,869 Vol.
$28,869 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$28,869 Vol.
$28,869 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing military operations and stalled diplomatic efforts continue to shape trader views on the low likelihood of a Ukrainian peace referendum passing before 2027. Core disputes over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and Ukrainian neutrality remain unresolved despite earlier US-mediated talks in Geneva and other venues earlier in 2026. Russia's rejection of direct leader-level meetings in early June, coupled with insistence on achieving stated objectives before halting hostilities, has further reduced prospects for a near-term ceasefire required to enable voting under martial law. Extensions of martial law through August 2026 and public polling showing limited support for major territorial compromises reinforce barriers, with any referendum contingent on a prior binding agreement that traders assess as improbable within the timeframe.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Volume
$28,869Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing military operations and stalled diplomatic efforts continue to shape trader views on the low likelihood of a Ukrainian peace referendum passing before 2027. Core disputes over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and Ukrainian neutrality remain unresolved despite earlier US-mediated talks in Geneva and other venues earlier in 2026. Russia's rejection of direct leader-level meetings in early June, coupled with insistence on achieving stated objectives before halting hostilities, has further reduced prospects for a near-term ceasefire required to enable voting under martial law. Extensions of martial law through August 2026 and public polling showing limited support for major territorial compromises reinforce barriers, with any referendum contingent on a prior binding agreement that traders assess as improbable within the timeframe.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,869Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military operations and stalled diplomatic efforts continue to shape trader views on the low likelihood of a Ukrainian peace referendum passing before 2027. Core disputes over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and Ukrainian neutrality remain unresolved despite earlier US-mediated talks in Geneva and other venues earlier in 2026. Russia's rejection of direct leader-level meetings in early June, coupled with insistence on achieving stated objectives before halting hostilities, has further reduced prospects for a near-term ceasefire required to enable voting under martial law. Extensions of martial law through August 2026 and public polling showing limited support for major territorial compromises reinforce barriers, with any referendum contingent on a prior binding agreement that traders assess as improbable within the timeframe.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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