Recent U.S.-Russia diplomatic contacts, including U.S. envoys' early September meetings with Putin in Moscow and a September 8 phone call between Trump and Putin focused on Ukraine peace efforts, have reinforced expectations of a bilateral or trilateral summit before year-end. Kremlin statements highlight discussion of a possible Xi-Trump-Putin gathering on the sidelines of the November APEC forum in Shenzhen, China, aligning with trader pricing that assigns China the highest probability. The absence of any 2026 in-person meeting to date, combined with ongoing security and logistical considerations for Putin, supports the notable share assigned to no meeting by December 31. Lower odds for the United States, Russia, or European venues reflect structural barriers such as travel restrictions and venue preferences amid active conflict dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoChina 56%
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre 34%
United States 4.2%
Gulf country 2.5%
$1,112,412 Vol.
$1,112,412 Vol.
China
56%
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre
34%
United States
4%
Gulf country
2%
Other
2%
Russia
2%
Turkey
1%
Switzerland
1%
South Korea
1%
Japan
1%
Belarus
<1%
Finland
<1%
Australia
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
China 56%
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre 34%
United States 4.2%
Gulf country 2.5%
$1,112,412 Vol.
$1,112,412 Vol.
China
56%
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre
34%
United States
4%
Gulf country
2%
Other
2%
Russia
2%
Turkey
1%
Switzerland
1%
South Korea
1%
Japan
1%
Belarus
<1%
Finland
<1%
Australia
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S.-Russia diplomatic contacts, including U.S. envoys' early September meetings with Putin in Moscow and a September 8 phone call between Trump and Putin focused on Ukraine peace efforts, have reinforced expectations of a bilateral or trilateral summit before year-end. Kremlin statements highlight discussion of a possible Xi-Trump-Putin gathering on the sidelines of the November APEC forum in Shenzhen, China, aligning with trader pricing that assigns China the highest probability. The absence of any 2026 in-person meeting to date, combined with ongoing security and logistical considerations for Putin, supports the notable share assigned to no meeting by December 31. Lower odds for the United States, Russia, or European venues reflect structural barriers such as travel restrictions and venue preferences amid active conflict dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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