Yemeni government forces backed by the Saudi-led coalition launched Operation Dawn of Yemen in early October 2026, claiming rapid advances that cleared Houthi fighters from Dhubab, Mayun (Perim) Island, Mokha, and surrounding coastal positions overlooking the strait. Saudi officials announced on October 9 that the waterway had been secured, though Houthi sources rejected the claims and independent verification remains limited. These developments follow Houthi seizures of key terrain in September that reduced transits by roughly half and prompted many operators to divert around the Cape of Good Hope. Shipping continues at lower volumes without a formal closure declaration from any authority, while naval advisories highlight ongoing risks from attacks and piracy. Diplomatic and military responses in the coming weeks could determine whether traffic normalizes or faces renewed disruption.