**Traders assign a 94.5% probability against a Trump-Putin-Zelensky trilateral meeting before 2027 because no such leader-level summit has occurred despite repeated diplomatic signals since early 2025.** Bilateral Trump-Zelensky meetings (including White House and NATO-summit encounters in 2026) and a Trump-Putin Alaska summit have taken place, while lower-level U.S.-Ukraine-Russia talks in Geneva produced only limited outcomes such as prisoner exchanges. Core disputes over territory, security guarantees, and ceasefires remain unresolved, with battlefield developments and stalled negotiations continuing through mid-2026. Although Trump has floated trilateral formats and urged rapid progress, the absence of scheduled leader-level trilateral engagement and persistent gaps in positions have kept market-implied odds heavily against the three meeting by year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$43,587 Vol.
$43,587 Vol.
Sì
$43,587 Vol.
$43,587 Vol.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin, Zelenskyy, and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin, Zelenskyy, and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign a 94.5% probability against a Trump-Putin-Zelensky trilateral meeting before 2027 because no such leader-level summit has occurred despite repeated diplomatic signals since early 2025.** Bilateral Trump-Zelensky meetings (including White House and NATO-summit encounters in 2026) and a Trump-Putin Alaska summit have taken place, while lower-level U.S.-Ukraine-Russia talks in Geneva produced only limited outcomes such as prisoner exchanges. Core disputes over territory, security guarantees, and ceasefires remain unresolved, with battlefield developments and stalled negotiations continuing through mid-2026. Although Trump has floated trilateral formats and urged rapid progress, the absence of scheduled leader-level trilateral engagement and persistent gaps in positions have kept market-implied odds heavily against the three meeting by year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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