Ukraine’s ongoing martial law, extended repeatedly through at least October 2026 and likely beyond, bars presidential elections under constitutional and statutory rules, allowing incumbent Volodymyr Zelenskyy to remain in office after his 2019 term expired. Recent polling from September 2026 shows 71% of respondents oppose wartime voting while 53% prefer he serve only one term, yet no viable path exists for an election or transition by mid-2027 absent a swift ceasefire and rapid post-martial-law vote. Zelenskyy has signaled openness to stepping aside once hostilities end but readiness to run if wartime conditions persist. Trader consensus at 79% “No” reflects these structural barriers, the absence of scheduled balloting, and limited near-term prospects for leadership change through resignation or removal.