Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-unanimous confidence in Xi Jinping's firm control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and People's Liberation Army (PLA), with no verified coup attempts materializing despite early 2026 rumors. In January, Beijing announced investigations into top generals including Zhang Youxia, Xi's former close ally and Central Military Commission vice-chair, for corruption and alleged nuclear secrets leaks to the U.S., part of an escalating purge that ousted nine military lawmakers by February. These actions, framed officially as anti-corruption drives, have quelled speculation of disloyalty and reinforced PLA loyalty amid modernization efforts. Absent major economic collapse, elite factionalism, or health crises for Xi, such stability underpins the 96.7% "No" pricing through 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$127,619 Vol.
$127,619 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$127,619 Vol.
$127,619 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-unanimous confidence in Xi Jinping's firm control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and People's Liberation Army (PLA), with no verified coup attempts materializing despite early 2026 rumors. In January, Beijing announced investigations into top generals including Zhang Youxia, Xi's former close ally and Central Military Commission vice-chair, for corruption and alleged nuclear secrets leaks to the U.S., part of an escalating purge that ousted nine military lawmakers by February. These actions, framed officially as anti-corruption drives, have quelled speculation of disloyalty and reinforced PLA loyalty amid modernization efforts. Absent major economic collapse, elite factionalism, or health crises for Xi, such stability underpins the 96.7% "No" pricing through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$127,619Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-unanimous confidence in Xi Jinping's firm control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and People's Liberation Army (PLA), with no verified coup attempts materializing despite early 2026 rumors. In January, Beijing announced investigations into top generals including Zhang Youxia, Xi's former close ally and Central Military Commission vice-chair, for corruption and alleged nuclear secrets leaks to the U.S., part of an escalating purge that ousted nine military lawmakers by February. These actions, framed officially as anti-corruption drives, have quelled speculation of disloyalty and reinforced PLA loyalty amid modernization efforts. Absent major economic collapse, elite factionalism, or health crises for Xi, such stability underpins the 96.7% "No" pricing through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$127,619Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-unanimous confidence in Xi Jinping's firm control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and People's Liberation Army (PLA), with no verified coup attempts materializing despite early 2026 rumors. In January, Beijing announced investigations into top generals including Zhang Youxia, Xi's former close ally and Central Military Commission vice-chair, for corruption and alleged nuclear secrets leaks to the U.S., part of an escalating purge that ousted nine military lawmakers by February. These actions, framed officially as anti-corruption drives, have quelled speculation of disloyalty and reinforced PLA loyalty amid modernization efforts. Absent major economic collapse, elite factionalism, or health crises for Xi, such stability underpins the 96.7% "No" pricing through 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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