Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive purges throughout 2026, primarily targeting senior People's Liberation Army (PLA) officers via the Central Military Commission (CMC), with investigations of top generals like Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli in January hollowing out key commands. The scope broadened in April when Politburo member Ma Xingrui—the third incumbent targeted—faced probes for serious discipline violations, confirmed alongside nine more generals, signaling the widest elite shake-up since the 1970s ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress. A May Central Military Commission rectification session underscores loyalty enforcement, fostering trader uncertainty over next targets amid opaque CCP disciplinary actions and no dominant frontrunner.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$156,921 Vol.
Dong Jun
10%
Wang Yi
6%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Wang Huning
5%
Ding Xuexiang
5%
Zhao Leji
5%
Li Qiang
4%
Cai Qi
4%
Li Xi
1%
$156,921 Vol.
Dong Jun
10%
Wang Yi
6%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Wang Huning
5%
Ding Xuexiang
5%
Zhao Leji
5%
Li Qiang
4%
Cai Qi
4%
Li Xi
1%
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive purges throughout 2026, primarily targeting senior People's Liberation Army (PLA) officers via the Central Military Commission (CMC), with investigations of top generals like Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli in January hollowing out key commands. The scope broadened in April when Politburo member Ma Xingrui—the third incumbent targeted—faced probes for serious discipline violations, confirmed alongside nine more generals, signaling the widest elite shake-up since the 1970s ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress. A May Central Military Commission rectification session underscores loyalty enforcement, fostering trader uncertainty over next targets amid opaque CCP disciplinary actions and no dominant frontrunner.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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