**Zhang Youxia, former first vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for suspected serious violations of discipline and law, including corruption allegations and related offenses.** As of mid-August 2026, Chinese authorities have announced no public trial, formal charges, or sentencing. High-level PLA anti-corruption cases routinely involve extended investigations lasting many months or years before any court outcome, reflecting internal party disciplinary procedures rather than rapid judicial resolution. Recent developments, including the ongoing reconstitution of the CMC and continued purges of other senior officers, have not produced any verified escalation to a prison sentence for Zhang. Traders therefore assign roughly 90% probability to “No,” consistent with the established timeline for comparable cases involving top military figures. A sentencing before the end of 2026 would require an unusually accelerated process that has not been signaled in official statements or reporting.