Elon Musk's established posting cadence on X has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 240-259 tweet range for August 14-21, 2026, reflecting his typical daily output of roughly 35-40 posts when not on extended breaks. This bin captures the platform's historical weekly averages during periods without major travel, regulatory hearings, or product launches that might spike or suppress activity. With the market window closing, the near-100% implied probability underscores how consistently Musk's verified account has tracked in this zone absent sudden shifts in schedule or external events. An upset to adjacent ranges would require an abrupt change, such as a multi-day pause or unusually intense engagement around breaking news.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato240-259 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$5,584,552 Vol.
$5,584,552 Vol.
21 ago 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
Yes
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
240-259 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$5,584,552 Vol.
$5,584,552 Vol.
21 ago 2026
<20
$2,883 Vol.
No
20-39
$1,883 Vol.
No
40-59
$22,883 Vol.
No
60-79
$112,262 Vol.
No
80-99
$210,546 Vol.
No
100-119
$234,454 Vol.
No
120-139
$216,425 Vol.
No
140-159
$205,470 Vol.
No
160-179
$283,001 Vol.
No
180-199
$363,781 Vol.
No
200-219
$440,366 Vol.
No
220-239
$409,184 Vol.
No
240-259
$558,196 Vol.
Yes
260-279
$462,405 Vol.
No
280-299
$482,299 Vol.
No
300-319
$426,770 Vol.
No
320-339
$350,641 Vol.
No
340-359
$231,376 Vol.
No
360-379
$174,317 Vol.
No
380-399
$117,030 Vol.
No
400-419
$112,055 Vol.
No
420-439
$31,195 Vol.
No
440-459
$42,643 Vol.
No
460-479
$28,658 Vol.
No
480-499
$8,658 Vol.
No
500+
$55,173 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established posting cadence on X has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 240-259 tweet range for August 14-21, 2026, reflecting his typical daily output of roughly 35-40 posts when not on extended breaks. This bin captures the platform's historical weekly averages during periods without major travel, regulatory hearings, or product launches that might spike or suppress activity. With the market window closing, the near-100% implied probability underscores how consistently Musk's verified account has tracked in this zone absent sudden shifts in schedule or external events. An upset to adjacent ranges would require an abrupt change, such as a multi-day pause or unusually intense engagement around breaking news.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$5,584,552Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established posting cadence on X has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 240-259 tweet range for August 14-21, 2026, reflecting his typical daily output of roughly 35-40 posts when not on extended breaks. This bin captures the platform's historical weekly averages during periods without major travel, regulatory hearings, or product launches that might spike or suppress activity. With the market window closing, the near-100% implied probability underscores how consistently Musk's verified account has tracked in this zone absent sudden shifts in schedule or external events. An upset to adjacent ranges would require an abrupt change, such as a multi-day pause or unusually intense engagement around breaking news.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$5,584,552Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Elon Musk's established posting cadence on X has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 240-259 tweet range for August 14-21, 2026, reflecting his typical daily output of roughly 35-40 posts when not on extended breaks. This bin captures the platform's historical weekly averages during periods without major travel, regulatory hearings, or product launches that might spike or suppress activity. With the market window closing, the near-100% implied probability underscores how consistently Musk's verified account has tracked in this zone absent sudden shifts in schedule or external events. An upset to adjacent ranges would require an abrupt change, such as a multi-day pause or unusually intense engagement around breaking news.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti