Recent SpaceX earnings commentary and anticipation of Tesla AI Day on August 19 have sustained Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X, with the prior week resolving at 220-239 posts. Traders see this momentum carrying into August 11-18, pricing the 180-199 and 200-219 bands highest while keeping 160-179 and 220-239 within striking distance. Daily volume remains sensitive to breaking company updates, Starlink milestones, and Musk’s real-time reactions to industry news, creating tight spreads across the central range. Historical patterns show his output fluctuates with earnings cycles and product events rather than external distractions, keeping the market focused on verifiable X activity rather than unconfirmed rumors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato180-199 19%
200-219 18%
220-239 15%
160-179 14%
NUOVO
$84,418 Vol.
NUOVO
$84,418 Vol.
18 ago 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
8%
160-179
14%
180-199
19%
200-219
18%
220-239
15%
240-259
11%
260-279
7%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 19%
200-219 18%
220-239 15%
160-179 14%
NUOVO
$84,418 Vol.
NUOVO
$84,418 Vol.
18 ago 2026
<20
$1,115 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$115 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$115 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$11,587 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$9,847 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$9,079 Vol.
1%
120-139
$3,481 Vol.
4%
140-159
$463 Vol.
8%
160-179
$658 Vol.
14%
180-199
$925 Vol.
19%
200-219
$427 Vol.
18%
220-239
$577 Vol.
15%
240-259
$861 Vol.
11%
260-279
$337 Vol.
7%
280-299
$3,254 Vol.
3%
300-319
$537 Vol.
2%
320-339
$1,146 Vol.
1%
340-359
$865 Vol.
1%
360-379
$839 Vol.
1%
380-399
$755 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$4,829 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$3,969 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$9,584 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$921 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$421 Vol.
<1%
500+
$17,711 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent SpaceX earnings commentary and anticipation of Tesla AI Day on August 19 have sustained Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X, with the prior week resolving at 220-239 posts. Traders see this momentum carrying into August 11-18, pricing the 180-199 and 200-219 bands highest while keeping 160-179 and 220-239 within striking distance. Daily volume remains sensitive to breaking company updates, Starlink milestones, and Musk’s real-time reactions to industry news, creating tight spreads across the central range. Historical patterns show his output fluctuates with earnings cycles and product events rather than external distractions, keeping the market focused on verifiable X activity rather than unconfirmed rumors.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$84,418Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent SpaceX earnings commentary and anticipation of Tesla AI Day on August 19 have sustained Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X, with the prior week resolving at 220-239 posts. Traders see this momentum carrying into August 11-18, pricing the 180-199 and 200-219 bands highest while keeping 160-179 and 220-239 within striking distance. Daily volume remains sensitive to breaking company updates, Starlink milestones, and Musk’s real-time reactions to industry news, creating tight spreads across the central range. Historical patterns show his output fluctuates with earnings cycles and product events rather than external distractions, keeping the market focused on verifiable X activity rather than unconfirmed rumors.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$84,418Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent SpaceX earnings commentary and anticipation of Tesla AI Day on August 19 have sustained Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X, with the prior week resolving at 220-239 posts. Traders see this momentum carrying into August 11-18, pricing the 180-199 and 200-219 bands highest while keeping 160-179 and 220-239 within striking distance. Daily volume remains sensitive to breaking company updates, Starlink milestones, and Musk’s real-time reactions to industry news, creating tight spreads across the central range. Historical patterns show his output fluctuates with earnings cycles and product events rather than external distractions, keeping the market focused on verifiable X activity rather than unconfirmed rumors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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