Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads market-implied odds for 2026’s biggest opening week after delivering a record $360 million domestic debut weekend in late July, the largest three-day start in history and well ahead of Toy Story 5’s earlier $160 million benchmark. Its strong presales, premium-format performance, and early global momentum established it as the frontrunner among 2026 releases. Avengers: Doomsday trails closely at 41.5% on the strength of surging December presales that already top prior MCU benchmarks and point to a potential $260–300 million domestic opening. The holiday tentpole’s ensemble cast and marketing push keep it competitive, though its December timing leaves more room for variables than the already-completed Spider-Man launch. Lower-probability titles remain distant due to smaller historical openings in their respective slots.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 57%
Avengers: Doomsday 42%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$85,501 Vol.
$85,501 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
57%
Avengers: Doomsday
42%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 57%
Avengers: Doomsday 42%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$85,501 Vol.
$85,501 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$20,250 Vol.
57%
Avengers: Doomsday
$32,315 Vol.
42%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,728 Vol.
<1%
Toy Story 5
$3,657 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads market-implied odds for 2026’s biggest opening week after delivering a record $360 million domestic debut weekend in late July, the largest three-day start in history and well ahead of Toy Story 5’s earlier $160 million benchmark. Its strong presales, premium-format performance, and early global momentum established it as the frontrunner among 2026 releases. Avengers: Doomsday trails closely at 41.5% on the strength of surging December presales that already top prior MCU benchmarks and point to a potential $260–300 million domestic opening. The holiday tentpole’s ensemble cast and marketing push keep it competitive, though its December timing leaves more room for variables than the already-completed Spider-Man launch. Lower-probability titles remain distant due to smaller historical openings in their respective slots.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$85,501Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads market-implied odds for 2026’s biggest opening week after delivering a record $360 million domestic debut weekend in late July, the largest three-day start in history and well ahead of Toy Story 5’s earlier $160 million benchmark. Its strong presales, premium-format performance, and early global momentum established it as the frontrunner among 2026 releases. Avengers: Doomsday trails closely at 41.5% on the strength of surging December presales that already top prior MCU benchmarks and point to a potential $260–300 million domestic opening. The holiday tentpole’s ensemble cast and marketing push keep it competitive, though its December timing leaves more room for variables than the already-completed Spider-Man launch. Lower-probability titles remain distant due to smaller historical openings in their respective slots.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$85,501Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads market-implied odds for 2026’s biggest opening week after delivering a record $360 million domestic debut weekend in late July, the largest three-day start in history and well ahead of Toy Story 5’s earlier $160 million benchmark. Its strong presales, premium-format performance, and early global momentum established it as the frontrunner among 2026 releases. Avengers: Doomsday trails closely at 41.5% on the strength of surging December presales that already top prior MCU benchmarks and point to a potential $260–300 million domestic opening. The holiday tentpole’s ensemble cast and marketing push keep it competitive, though its December timing leaves more room for variables than the already-completed Spider-Man launch. Lower-probability titles remain distant due to smaller historical openings in their respective slots.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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