The Oscars 2027 Best Picture market reflects an unusually open early field, with The Odyssey holding the top implied probability at 50% alongside a broad group of 2026 releases. Traders see Nolan’s ambitious adaptation benefiting from established critical momentum and studio backing, yet Dune: Part Three, La Bola Negra, and Wild Horse Nine sit in a tight cluster behind it, differentiated by franchise strength, auteur cachet, and festival prospects. Guild precursors and critics’ awards expected in late 2026 will likely sharpen the race, as historical patterns show early frontrunners often face late surges from under-the-radar contenders. The wide distribution across dozens of titles underscores how fluid the season remains before major releases and reviews arrive.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOscar 2027: vincitore del miglior film
Oscar 2027: vincitore del miglior film
L'Odissea 50%
Dune: Parte Tre 16%
La Bola Negra 12%
Wild Horse Nine 8%
$167,952 Vol.
$167,952 Vol.
14 mar 2027
L'Odissea
50%
Dune: Parte Tre
16%
La Bola Negra
12%
Wild Horse Nine
8%
The Debut
6%
Fjord
6%
Digger
5%
Project Hail Mary
2%
The Invite
1%
Disclosure Day
<1%
Le Avventure di Cliff Booth
<1%
Tony
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday
<1%
Il dramma
<1%
Behemoth!
<1%
The Social Reckoning
<1%
Fatherland
<1%
All of a Sudden
<1%
Michael
<1%
Clarissa
<1%
Josephine
<1%
Saturn Return
<1%
L'Odissea 50%
Dune: Parte Tre 16%
La Bola Negra 12%
Wild Horse Nine 8%
$167,952 Vol.
$167,952 Vol.
14 mar 2027
L'Odissea
$116,125 Vol.
50%
Dune: Parte Tre
$14,379 Vol.
16%
La Bola Negra
$2,059 Vol.
12%
Wild Horse Nine
$6,454 Vol.
8%
The Debut
$4,335 Vol.
6%
Fjord
$3,726 Vol.
6%
Digger
$5,707 Vol.
5%
Project Hail Mary
$2,408 Vol.
2%
The Invite
$590 Vol.
1%
Disclosure Day
$624 Vol.
<1%
Le Avventure di Cliff Booth
$597 Vol.
<1%
Tony
$2,757 Vol.
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday
$729 Vol.
<1%
Il dramma
$564 Vol.
<1%
Behemoth!
$2,644 Vol.
<1%
The Social Reckoning
$572 Vol.
<1%
Fatherland
$559 Vol.
<1%
All of a Sudden
$578 Vol.
<1%
Michael
$726 Vol.
<1%
Clarissa
$564 Vol.
<1%
Josephine
$675 Vol.
<1%
Saturn Return
$579 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Oscars 2027 Best Picture market reflects an unusually open early field, with The Odyssey holding the top implied probability at 50% alongside a broad group of 2026 releases. Traders see Nolan’s ambitious adaptation benefiting from established critical momentum and studio backing, yet Dune: Part Three, La Bola Negra, and Wild Horse Nine sit in a tight cluster behind it, differentiated by franchise strength, auteur cachet, and festival prospects. Guild precursors and critics’ awards expected in late 2026 will likely sharpen the race, as historical patterns show early frontrunners often face late surges from under-the-radar contenders. The wide distribution across dozens of titles underscores how fluid the season remains before major releases and reviews arrive.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
Volume
$167,952Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Oscars 2027 Best Picture market reflects an unusually open early field, with The Odyssey holding the top implied probability at 50% alongside a broad group of 2026 releases. Traders see Nolan’s ambitious adaptation benefiting from established critical momentum and studio backing, yet Dune: Part Three, La Bola Negra, and Wild Horse Nine sit in a tight cluster behind it, differentiated by franchise strength, auteur cachet, and festival prospects. Guild precursors and critics’ awards expected in late 2026 will likely sharpen the race, as historical patterns show early frontrunners often face late surges from under-the-radar contenders. The wide distribution across dozens of titles underscores how fluid the season remains before major releases and reviews arrive.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$167,952Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Oscars 2027 Best Picture market reflects an unusually open early field, with The Odyssey holding the top implied probability at 50% alongside a broad group of 2026 releases. Traders see Nolan’s ambitious adaptation benefiting from established critical momentum and studio backing, yet Dune: Part Three, La Bola Negra, and Wild Horse Nine sit in a tight cluster behind it, differentiated by franchise strength, auteur cachet, and festival prospects. Guild precursors and critics’ awards expected in late 2026 will likely sharpen the race, as historical patterns show early frontrunners often face late surges from under-the-radar contenders. The wide distribution across dozens of titles underscores how fluid the season remains before major releases and reviews arrive.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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