The 2026 NFL MVP market shows a tightly bunched field at the top, with Josh Allen holding a slim 12.5% implied probability edge over Lamar Jackson, Justin Herbert, Joe Burrow, and Caleb Williams clustered between 9.5% and 8.7%. This reflects the pre-season reality of numerous quarterbacks on projected contenders with recent strong statistical output, deep supporting casts, and favorable offensive schemes. Additional contenders like Drake Maye, Dak Prescott, and Patrick Mahomes sit just behind, underscoring how roster continuity, training-camp progress, and schedule strength keep multiple realistic paths open. Trader consensus prices the race as wide open because historical patterns show MVP outcomes often hinge on late-season team wins and individual volume that remain uncertain this early.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCalcio professionistico: vincitore MVP 2026
Josh Allen 13%
Justin Herbert 10%
Lamar Jackson 10%
Joe Burrow 8.9%
$354,701 Vol.
$354,701 Vol.
Josh Allen
13%
Justin Herbert
10%
Lamar Jackson
10%
Joe Burrow
9%
Drake Maye
9%
Caleb Williams
8%
Dak Prescott
8%
Matthew Stafford
7%
Patrick Mahomes
7%
Brock Purdy
5%
Jordan Love
4%
Jaxson Dart
3%
Trevor Lawrence
2%
Jalen Hurts
2%
Bo Nix
2%
Sam Darnold
2%
Baker Mayfield
2%
Jared Goff
2%
Jahmyr Gibbs
1%
Saquon Barkley
1%
Christian McCaffrey
1%
Justin Jefferson
<1%
Jaxson Smith-Njigba
<1%
Derrick Henry
<1%
Giocatore J
<1%
De'Von Achane
<1%
Puka Nacua
<1%
Myles Garrett
<1%
Bijan Robinson
<1%
Josh Allen 13%
Justin Herbert 10%
Lamar Jackson 10%
Joe Burrow 8.9%
$354,701 Vol.
$354,701 Vol.
Josh Allen
13%
Justin Herbert
10%
Lamar Jackson
10%
Joe Burrow
9%
Drake Maye
9%
Caleb Williams
8%
Dak Prescott
8%
Matthew Stafford
7%
Patrick Mahomes
7%
Brock Purdy
5%
Jordan Love
4%
Jaxson Dart
3%
Trevor Lawrence
2%
Jalen Hurts
2%
Bo Nix
2%
Sam Darnold
2%
Baker Mayfield
2%
Jared Goff
2%
Jahmyr Gibbs
1%
Saquon Barkley
1%
Christian McCaffrey
1%
Justin Jefferson
<1%
Jaxson Smith-Njigba
<1%
Derrick Henry
<1%
Giocatore J
<1%
De'Von Achane
<1%
Puka Nacua
<1%
Myles Garrett
<1%
Bijan Robinson
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 NFL MVP market shows a tightly bunched field at the top, with Josh Allen holding a slim 12.5% implied probability edge over Lamar Jackson, Justin Herbert, Joe Burrow, and Caleb Williams clustered between 9.5% and 8.7%. This reflects the pre-season reality of numerous quarterbacks on projected contenders with recent strong statistical output, deep supporting casts, and favorable offensive schemes. Additional contenders like Drake Maye, Dak Prescott, and Patrick Mahomes sit just behind, underscoring how roster continuity, training-camp progress, and schedule strength keep multiple realistic paths open. Trader consensus prices the race as wide open because historical patterns show MVP outcomes often hinge on late-season team wins and individual volume that remain uncertain this early.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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