Pete Crow-Armstrong has emerged as the narrow leader in the 2026 NL MVP race, with traders assigning him a 54% implied probability versus Shohei Ohtani’s 45%. Crow-Armstrong’s surge stems from a strong second-half offensive push, including a .285-.289 batting average, 26-27 home runs, 29-30 stolen bases, and a league-leading WAR near 7.5 that reflects elite center-field defense and baserunning. Recent Cubs-Dodgers series results, where he contributed multiple homers during a sweep, accelerated the shift. Ohtani remains close through consistent two-way production, though extended time without pitching has tempered his edge in voter and market assessments. Distant contenders like Matt Olson trail significantly as the race narrows around these two.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPete Crow-Armstrong 54.0%
Shohei Ohtani 45%
Matt Olson 1.9%
Elly De La Cruz <1%
$1,257,145 Vol.
$1,257,145 Vol.
Pete Crow-Armstrong
54%
Shohei Ohtani
45%
Matt Olson
2%
Elly De La Cruz
1%
Kyle Schwarber
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
<1%
Mookie Betts
<1%
Bryce Harper
<1%
Kyle Tucker
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
<1%
Andy Pages
<1%
Corbin Carroll
<1%
James Wood
<1%
Jacob Misiorowski
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Otto Lopez
<1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong 54.0%
Shohei Ohtani 45%
Matt Olson 1.9%
Elly De La Cruz <1%
$1,257,145 Vol.
$1,257,145 Vol.
Pete Crow-Armstrong
54%
Shohei Ohtani
45%
Matt Olson
2%
Elly De La Cruz
1%
Kyle Schwarber
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
<1%
Mookie Betts
<1%
Bryce Harper
<1%
Kyle Tucker
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
<1%
Andy Pages
<1%
Corbin Carroll
<1%
James Wood
<1%
Jacob Misiorowski
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Otto Lopez
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 18, 2026, 10:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Pete Crow-Armstrong has emerged as the narrow leader in the 2026 NL MVP race, with traders assigning him a 54% implied probability versus Shohei Ohtani’s 45%. Crow-Armstrong’s surge stems from a strong second-half offensive push, including a .285-.289 batting average, 26-27 home runs, 29-30 stolen bases, and a league-leading WAR near 7.5 that reflects elite center-field defense and baserunning. Recent Cubs-Dodgers series results, where he contributed multiple homers during a sweep, accelerated the shift. Ohtani remains close through consistent two-way production, though extended time without pitching has tempered his edge in voter and market assessments. Distant contenders like Matt Olson trail significantly as the race narrows around these two.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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