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icon for Oscar 2027: Miglior Attore

Oscar 2027: Miglior Attore

icon for Oscar 2027: Miglior Attore

Oscar 2027: Miglior Attore

Matt Damon 30%

Tom Cruise 29%

Andrew Scott 11%

John Malkovich 9%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Matt Damon 30%

Tom Cruise 29%

Andrew Scott 11%

John Malkovich 9%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Matt Damon

Matt Damon

$39 Vol.

30%

icon for Tom Cruise

Tom Cruise

$42 Vol.

29%

icon for Andrew Scott

Andrew Scott

$19 Vol.

11%

icon for John Malkovich

John Malkovich

$19 Vol.

9%

icon for Ryan Gosling

Ryan Gosling

$19 Vol.

7%

icon for John Turturro

John Turturro

$19 Vol.

7%

icon for Jeremy Strong

Jeremy Strong

$19 Vol.

7%

icon for Timothée Chalamet

Timothée Chalamet

$19 Vol.

6%

icon for Sebastian Stan

Sebastian Stan

$19 Vol.

5%

icon for Jaafar Jackson

Jaafar Jackson

$19 Vol.

5%

icon for Adam Driver

Adam Driver

$19 Vol.

5%

icon for Javier Bardem

Javier Bardem

$19 Vol.

5%

icon for Brad Pitt

Brad Pitt

$19 Vol.

5%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$19 Vol.

5%

icon for Pedro Pascal

Pedro Pascal

$19 Vol.

4%

icon for Robert Aramayo

Robert Aramayo

$29 Vol.

7%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$19 Vol.

3%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars cycle still in its early stages, trader sentiment for Best Actor shows a crowded field of contenders priced at similar levels, reflecting limited 2026 release data and no clear frontrunner yet. Established stars such as Matt Damon hold the highest implied probability due to career momentum and anticipated projects, while names like Tom Cruise, Ryan Gosling, and Timothée Chalamet trade lower amid broader competition from festival hopefuls and studio campaigns. Differentiating factors will hinge on upcoming critical reception, guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and others, and box-office performance once fall releases hit. Historical patterns suggest late-year breakthroughs can rapidly shift consensus before voting begins.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$383
Data di fine
14 mar 2027
Mercato aperto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars cycle still in its early stages, trader sentiment for Best Actor shows a crowded field of contenders priced at similar levels, reflecting limited 2026 release data and no clear frontrunner yet. Established stars such as Matt Damon hold the highest implied probability due to career momentum and anticipated projects, while names like Tom Cruise, Ryan Gosling, and Timothée Chalamet trade lower amid broader competition from festival hopefuls and studio campaigns. Differentiating factors will hinge on upcoming critical reception, guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and others, and box-office performance once fall releases hit. Historical patterns suggest late-year breakthroughs can rapidly shift consensus before voting begins.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$383
Data di fine
14 mar 2027
Mercato aperto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Correlati

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Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

91%
icon for L'Odissea vincerà il premio per il miglior film alla 99ª edizione degli Academy Awards?

L'Odissea vincerà il premio per il miglior film alla 99ª edizione degli Academy Awards?

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icon for Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

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"Oscar 2027: Miglior Attore" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 17 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Matt Damon" a 30%, seguito da "Tom Cruise" a 29%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 30¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 30% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Oscar 2027: Miglior Attore" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jul 28, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Oscar 2027: Miglior Attore", esplora i 17 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Oscar 2027: Miglior Attore" è "Matt Damon" a 30%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 30% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Tom Cruise" a 29%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Oscar 2027: Miglior Attore" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.