Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening in July established it as the year’s biggest debut so far, giving it the clearest path to second place if Avengers: Doomsday delivers the expected holiday-scale launch. Traders see Doomsday’s $50 million-plus in early presales, Infinity Vision premium-format push, and MCU ensemble momentum as the key swing factor that could flip the top two spots. Other 2026 releases, including Toy Story 5’s earlier $160 million-range start and upcoming titles like The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping or Dune: Messiah, sit far behind on tracking and historical precedent for event-level openings. With both leading contenders still separated by narrow implied probabilities, the market hinges on final December tracking and word-of-mouth for Doomsday.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale film ha il secondo miglior weekend di apertura nel 2026?
Quale film ha il secondo miglior weekend di apertura nel 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 54%
Avengers: Doomsday 44%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$118,453 Vol.
$118,453 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
54%
Avengers: Doomsday
44%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 54%
Avengers: Doomsday 44%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$118,453 Vol.
$118,453 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$60,125 Vol.
54%
Avengers: Doomsday
$45,596 Vol.
44%
Toy Story 5
$2,679 Vol.
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$482 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$8,291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening in July established it as the year’s biggest debut so far, giving it the clearest path to second place if Avengers: Doomsday delivers the expected holiday-scale launch. Traders see Doomsday’s $50 million-plus in early presales, Infinity Vision premium-format push, and MCU ensemble momentum as the key swing factor that could flip the top two spots. Other 2026 releases, including Toy Story 5’s earlier $160 million-range start and upcoming titles like The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping or Dune: Messiah, sit far behind on tracking and historical precedent for event-level openings. With both leading contenders still separated by narrow implied probabilities, the market hinges on final December tracking and word-of-mouth for Doomsday.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
Volume
$118,453Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening in July established it as the year’s biggest debut so far, giving it the clearest path to second place if Avengers: Doomsday delivers the expected holiday-scale launch. Traders see Doomsday’s $50 million-plus in early presales, Infinity Vision premium-format push, and MCU ensemble momentum as the key swing factor that could flip the top two spots. Other 2026 releases, including Toy Story 5’s earlier $160 million-range start and upcoming titles like The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping or Dune: Messiah, sit far behind on tracking and historical precedent for event-level openings. With both leading contenders still separated by narrow implied probabilities, the market hinges on final December tracking and word-of-mouth for Doomsday.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$118,453Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening in July established it as the year’s biggest debut so far, giving it the clearest path to second place if Avengers: Doomsday delivers the expected holiday-scale launch. Traders see Doomsday’s $50 million-plus in early presales, Infinity Vision premium-format push, and MCU ensemble momentum as the key swing factor that could flip the top two spots. Other 2026 releases, including Toy Story 5’s earlier $160 million-range start and upcoming titles like The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping or Dune: Messiah, sit far behind on tracking and historical precedent for event-level openings. With both leading contenders still separated by narrow implied probabilities, the market hinges on final December tracking and word-of-mouth for Doomsday.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti